標普上修今年中國GDP增長預測至6.6%、明年為6.3%

2016-07-18 MoneyDJ 中國, 港股 0

Pedestrians walk past Arturo Di Modica's "Charging Bull" sculpture in Shanghai, China, on Tuesday, Aug. 30, 2011. Insufficient data about the debt of local Chinese governments is a "weakness," said Fitch Ratings's Andrew Colquhoun, Asia-Pacific head of sovereign ratings. Photographer: Qilai Shen/Bloomberg

Pedestrians walk past Arturo Di Modica's "Charging Bull" sculpture in Shanghai, China, on Tuesday, Aug. 30, 2011. Insufficient data about the debt of local Chinese governments is a "weakness," said Fitch Ratings's Andrew Colquhoun, Asia-Pacific head of sovereign ratings. Photographer: Qilai Shen/Bloomberg

經濟通通訊社消息，信評機構標普將中國大陸今(2016)年及明(2017)年的GDP增長預測分別上調至6.6%及6.3%，上調幅度均為0.25個百分點，後(2018)年的GDP增長預測則維持在6%。

標普亞太區首席經濟學家Paul Gruenwald表示，此次上調預測顯示，先前高估了中國官方為改善中期金融可持續性，而付出經濟成長趨緩代價的意願。標普認為，中國目前經濟運行的軌道不可持續，因為信貸增長一直保持在名義GDP增長的兩倍。

Gruenwald認為，倘若中國以信貸推動經濟增長的模式沒有改變，則整體經濟出現調整的風險將繼續增加。MoneyDJ 新聞 2016-07-18 15:46:21 記者新聞中心 報導