{"id":9831,"date":"2018-01-05T12:40:24","date_gmt":"2018-01-05T04:40:24","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/?p=9831"},"modified":"2018-01-05T12:40:24","modified_gmt":"2018-01-05T04:40:24","slug":"%e8%b1%90%e5%af%8c%e5%a4%a9%e7%84%b6%e8%b3%87%e6%ba%90%e5%b0%b1%e8%83%bd%e5%b8%b6%e4%be%86%e5%bc%b7%e7%9b%9b%e5%9c%8b%e5%8a%9b%e5%97%8e%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/2018\/01\/05\/%e8%b1%90%e5%af%8c%e5%a4%a9%e7%84%b6%e8%b3%87%e6%ba%90%e5%b0%b1%e8%83%bd%e5%b8%b6%e4%be%86%e5%bc%b7%e7%9b%9b%e5%9c%8b%e5%8a%9b%e5%97%8e%ef%bc%9f\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8c50\u5bcc\u5929\u7136\u8cc7\u6e90\u5c31\u80fd\u5e36\u4f86\u5f37\u76db\u570b\u529b\u55ce\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u8a31\u591a\u4eba\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee5\u70ba\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u662f\u5426\u64c1\u6709\u8c50\u5bcc\u7684\u5929\u7136\u8cc7\u6e90\uff0c\u662f\u4e3b\u5c0e\u5b83<a href=\"https:\/\/global.udn.com\/search\/tagging\/1020\/%E7%B6%93%E6%BF%9F\" rel=\"87918\"><strong>\u7d93\u6fdf<\/strong><\/a>\u548c\u570b\u529b\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u95dc\u9375\uff1b\u4f46\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u771f\u7684\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u55ce\uff0c\u8b93\u6211\u5011\u4f86\u770b\u770b\u5168\u7403\u5169\u500b\u539f\u7269\u6599\u5927\u570b\u2014\u2014\u5df4\u897f\u3001\u6fb3\u6d32\u2014\u2014\u7684\u767c\u5c55\u60c5\u6cc1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e00\u6a23\u860a\u85cf\u8c50\u5bcc\u539f\u7269\u6599\u548c\u7926\u7522\uff0c\u4e00\u6a23\u5177\u5099\u5bec\u5ee3\u7684\u570b\u571f\uff1b\u5df4\u897f\u5883\u5167\u6709\u96e8\u6797\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u5883\u5167\u6709\u8d85\u5927\u9762\u7a4d\u7684\u6c99\u6f20\uff1b\u5169\u570b\u90fd\u662f\u4f4d\u65bc\u5357\u534a\u7403\u7684\u539f\u7269\u6599\u51fa\u53e3\u5927\u570b\uff0c\u548c\u5317\u534a\u7403\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u6d88\u8cbb\u5e02\u5834\u6709\u8f03\u5927\u7684\u5730\u7406\u8ddd\u96e2\uff0c\u4e14\u540c\u6a23\u6c92\u6709\u9130\u570b\u5f37\u6b0a\u58d3\u5883\u6216\u7af6\u722d\u30022016\u5e74\u5df4\u897f\u7684GDP\u898f\u6a21\u7d041.8\u5146\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u662f1.3\u5146\u7f8e\u5143\u3002\u96d6\u7136\u5df4\u897f\u7684GDP\u6578\u64da\u8f03\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u5df4\u897f\u4eba\u53e3\u662f1.06\u5104\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u4eba\u53e3\u624d2400\u842c\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u5dee\u8ddd\u8d85\u904e4\u500d\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u82e5\u4ee5\u4eba\u5747GDP\u4f86\u6bd4\u8f03\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u50c5\u67091.08\u842c\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5c0d\u4e0a\u6fb3\u6d32\u76845.56\u842c\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u6c11\u751f\u7d93\u6fdf\u8207\u4eba\u6c11\u5bcc\u88d5\u7a0b\u5ea6\uff0c\u986f\u7136\u9060\u843d\u5f8c\u65bc\u6fb3\u6d32\uff1b\u64c1\u6709\u8c50\u5bcc\u7684\u539f\u7269\u6599\uff0c\u672a\u5fc5\u5c31\u80fd\u6709\u6548\u6539\u5584\u4eba\u6c11\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"photo_center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/pgw.udn.com.tw\/gw\/photo.php?u=https:\/\/uc.udn.com.tw\/photo\/2017\/11\/29\/99\/4394678.png&amp;x=0&amp;y=0&amp;sw=0&amp;sh=0&amp;sl=W&amp;fw=1050\" rel=\"prettyPhoto[pp_gal]\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\" \u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff0f&lt;a href=\" src=\"https:\/\/pgw.udn.com.tw\/gw\/photo.php?u=https:\/\/uc.udn.com.tw\/photo\/2017\/11\/29\/99\/4394678.png&amp;x=0&amp;y=0&amp;sw=0&amp;sh=0&amp;sl=W&amp;fw=1050\" alt=\" \u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff0f&lt;a href=\" \/><\/a><figcaption>\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff0f<a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trading Economis<\/a><\/figcaption><div class=\"photo_pop\"><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"photo_center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/pgw.udn.com.tw\/gw\/photo.php?u=https:\/\/uc.udn.com.tw\/photo\/2017\/11\/29\/99\/4394665.png&amp;x=0&amp;y=0&amp;sw=0&amp;sh=0&amp;sl=W&amp;fw=1050\" rel=\"prettyPhoto[pp_gal]\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\" \u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff0f&lt;a href=\" src=\"https:\/\/pgw.udn.com.tw\/gw\/photo.php?u=https:\/\/uc.udn.com.tw\/photo\/2017\/11\/29\/99\/4394665.png&amp;x=0&amp;y=0&amp;sw=0&amp;sh=0&amp;sl=W&amp;fw=1050\" alt=\" \u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff0f&lt;a href=\" \/><\/a><figcaption>\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff0f<a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trading Economis<\/a><\/figcaption><div class=\"photo_pop\"><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>\u6c11\u751f\u74b0\u5883\u4e2d\u6700\u76f4\u63a5\u611f\u53d7\u7684\u662f\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\u548c\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u3002\u5df2\u958b\u767c\u570b\u5bb6\u57282008\u5e74\u91d1\u878d\u6d77\u562f\u904e\u5f8c\uff0c\u666e\u904d\u5931\u696d\u7387\u90fd\u98c6\u5347\u5230\u76f8\u5c0d\u9ad8\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c\u800c\u539f\u7269\u6599\u51fa\u53e3\u570b\u5bb6\u57282011\u5e74\u904e\u5f8c\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u666e\u904d\u53c8\u5411\u4e0a\u6500\u5347\uff0c\u4e00\u76f4\u5230\u570b\u969b\u6cb9\u50f9\u57282016\u5e74\u843d\u5e95\u4e86\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u624d\u6c92\u6709\u518d\u60e1\u5316\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u5c0d\u5df4\u897f\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u8fd1\u4e09\u5e74\u4f86\u7684\u5931\u696d\u7387\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u653f\u5c40\u52d5\u76ea\uff0c\u660e\u986f\u60e1\u5316\u8a31\u591a\uff0c\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\u986f\u7136\u6c92\u6709\u56e0\u70ba\u5df4\u897f\u64c1\u6709\u7684\u8c50\u5bcc\u539f\u7269\u6599\uff0c\u8b93\u5df4\u897f\u7dad\u6301\u76f8\u5c0d\u4f4e\u4e14\u7a69\u5b9a\u7684\u5931\u696d\u7387\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u4e5f\u662f\u6709\u6975\u5927\u7684\u5dee\u8ddd\uff0c2000\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u653f\u5e9c\u7d71\u8a08\u7684\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u6700\u9ad8\u4e0d\u8d85\u904e4.5%\uff0c\u4f46\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u74b0\u5883\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u6642\u9593\u537b\u90fd\u8d85\u904e5%\u3002\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u7684\u6c11\u9593\u85aa\u8cc7\uff0c\u5e74\u5e74\u7a69\u5b9a\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u6c11\u9593\u85aa\u8cc7\uff0c\u591a\u5e74\u4f86\u7684\u6210\u9577\u537b\u76f8\u5c0d\u6709\u9650\u3002\u9019\u610f\u5473\u8457\u5169\u570b\u4eba\u6c11\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u5be6\u8cea\u8cfc\u8cb7\u529b\uff0c\u5728\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u8cb6\u503c\u901f\u5ea6\u5176\u5be6\u9060\u6bd4\u6fb3\u6d32\u4f86\u7684\u5feb\uff0c\u5c0d\u65bc\u5927\u591a\u6578\u7684\u4eba\u6c11\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u5728\u5df4\u897f\u5de5\u4f5c\u548c\u751f\u6d3b\uff0c\u8f9b\u82e6\u7a0b\u5ea6\u6703\u9060\u5927\u65bc\u5728\u6fb3\u6d32\u5de5\u4f5c\u548c\u751f\u6d3b\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u9577\u9060\u767c\u5c55\u4e0b\u4f86\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u8ca7\u5bcc\u5dee\u8ddd\u52e2\u5fc5\u6703\u52a0\u901f\u60e1\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"photo_center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/pgw.udn.com.tw\/gw\/photo.php?u=https:\/\/uc.udn.com.tw\/photo\/2017\/11\/29\/99\/4394679.png&amp;x=0&amp;y=0&amp;sw=0&amp;sh=0&amp;sl=W&amp;fw=1050\" rel=\"prettyPhoto[pp_gal]\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\" \u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff0f&lt;a href=\" src=\"https:\/\/pgw.udn.com.tw\/gw\/photo.php?u=https:\/\/uc.udn.com.tw\/photo\/2017\/11\/29\/99\/4394679.png&amp;x=0&amp;y=0&amp;sw=0&amp;sh=0&amp;sl=W&amp;fw=1050\" alt=\" \u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff0f&lt;a href=\" \/><\/a><figcaption>\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff0f<a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trading Economis<\/a><\/figcaption><div class=\"photo_pop\"><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"photo_center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/pgw.udn.com.tw\/gw\/photo.php?u=https:\/\/uc.udn.com.tw\/photo\/2017\/11\/29\/99\/4394674.png&amp;x=0&amp;y=0&amp;sw=0&amp;sh=0&amp;sl=W&amp;fw=1050\" rel=\"prettyPhoto[pp_gal]\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\" \u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff0f&lt;a href=\" src=\"https:\/\/pgw.udn.com.tw\/gw\/photo.php?u=https:\/\/uc.udn.com.tw\/photo\/2017\/11\/29\/99\/4394674.png&amp;x=0&amp;y=0&amp;sw=0&amp;sh=0&amp;sl=W&amp;fw=1050\" alt=\" \u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff0f&lt;a href=\" \/><\/a><figcaption>\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff0f<a href=\"https:\/\/tradingeconomics.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Trading Economis<\/a><\/figcaption><div class=\"photo_pop\"><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<figure class=\"photo_center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/pgw.udn.com.tw\/gw\/photo.php?u=https:\/\/uc.udn.com.tw\/photo\/2017\/11\/29\/99\/4394675.png&amp;x=0&amp;y=0&amp;sw=0&amp;sh=0&amp;sl=W&amp;fw=1050\" rel=\"prettyPhoto[pp_gal]\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\" \u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff0f&lt;a href=\" src=\"https:\/\/pgw.udn.com.tw\/gw\/photo.php?u=https:\/\/uc.udn.com.tw\/photo\/2017\/11\/29\/99\/4394675.png&amp;x=0&amp;y=0&amp;sw=0&amp;sh=0&amp;sl=W&amp;fw=1050\" alt=\" \u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff0f&lt;a href=\" \/><\/a><figcaption>\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff0f<a href=\"https:\/\/fred.stlouisfed.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">FRED<\/a><\/figcaption><div class=\"photo_pop\"><\/div>\n<\/figure>\n<p>\u6bd4\u8f03\u5df4\u897f\u548c\u6fb3\u6d32\u7684\u516c\u5171\u5efa\u8a2d\uff0c\u5dee\u8ddd\u4e5f\u662f\u76f8\u7576\u5927\u3002\u6fb3\u6d32\u7684\u5bb6\u5ead\u98f2\u7528\u6c34\uff0c\u6c34\u9f8d\u982d\u6253\u958b\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u76f4\u63a5\u751f\u98f2\uff1b\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u6c34\u6e90\u548c\u6cb3\u5ddd\u6c59\u67d3\uff0c\u96d6\u7136\u57282016\u5e74\u5967\u904b\u524d\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u653f\u5e9c\u558a\u8a71\u7838\u5927\u9322\u6539\u5584\u6c59\u6c34\u8655\u7406\u7cfb\u7d71\uff0c\u4f462017\u5e74\u5e95\u4f9d\u7136\u6c92\u6709\u986f\u8457\u6539\u5584\u3002\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u72c0\u6cc1\u4e26\u4e0d\u610f\u5916\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u4eba\u7269\u5c0d\u65bc\u6539\u5584\u6c34\u8cea\u7684\u610f\u9858\u61c9\u8a72\u4e0d\u9ad8\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u76f8\u5c0d\u65bc\u95dc\u6ce8\u57fa\u790e\u5efa\u8a2d\u548c\u6cbb\u5b89\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u6539\u5584\u6c34\u8cea\u80fd\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u9078\u7968\u6642\u5728\u76f8\u7576\u7a00\u5c11\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7531\u6b64\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u8b80\u8005\u61c9\u8a72\u4e0d\u96e3\u9ad4\u6703\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u4eba\u6c11\u5728\u7269\u50f9\u3001\u6536\u5165\u3001\u5c31\u696d\u3001\u6cbb\u5b89\u3001\u885b\u751f\u3001\u6559\u80b2\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u548c\u6fb3\u6d32\u7684\u843d\u5dee\u6703\u6709\u591a\u5de8\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u76f8\u8f03\u65bc\u6fb3\u6d32\u5c0d\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u4e2d\u570b\u8ddf\u6b50\u6d32\u8ddd\u96e2\u8f03\u9060\uff0c\u9694\u58c1\u53ea\u6709\u7d10\u897f\u862d\u80fd\u8207\u4e4b\u5171\u7d44\u7d10\u6fb3\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\uff0c\u8981\u767c\u5c55\u5167\u9700\u5e02\u5834\u53ea\u80fd\u5168\u9760\u81ea\u5df1\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u96e2\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5927\u7684\u7f8e\u570b\u9032\u53e3\u6d88\u8cbb\u5e02\u5834\u8f03\u8fd1\u3002\u540c\u6642\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u9060\u5927\u65bc\u6fb3\u6d32\uff0c\u64c1\u6709\u76f8\u7576\u5e74\u8f15\u3001\u6b63\u503c\u6d88\u8cbb\u65fa\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\uff1b\u53cd\u89c0\uff0c\u6fb3\u6d32\u5df2\u9081\u5165\u9ad8\u9f61\u5316\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u529b\u96e3\u4ee5\u5927\u5e45\u6210\u9577\u3002\u52a0\u4e0a\u9130\u570b\u7684\u5546\u696d\u8cbf\u6613\uff0c\u5df4\u897f\u9019\u500b\u64c1\u6709\u4e0a\u5104\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u8179\u5730\uff0c\u8981\u6bd4\u4eba\u53e3\u50c5\u67092400\u842c\u7684\u6fb3\u6d32\uff0c\u5176\u6240\u8981\u80fd\u69cb\u5efa\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u8207\u7522\u751f\u7684\u5167\u9700\u5e02\u5834\u8981\u5927\u7684\u591a\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"photo_center\"><a href=\"https:\/\/pgw.udn.com.tw\/gw\/photo.php?u=https:\/\/uc.udn.com.tw\/photo\/2017\/11\/29\/99\/4394693.jpg&amp;x=0&amp;y=0&amp;sw=0&amp;sh=0&amp;sl=W&amp;fw=1050\" rel=\"prettyPhoto[pp_gal]\"><img decoding=\"async\" title=\"\u5df4\u897f\u653f\u5e9c\u558a\u8a71\u7838\u5927\u9322\u6539\u5584\u6c59\u6c34\u8655\u7406\u7cfb\u7d71\uff0c\u4f462017\u5e74\u5e95\u4f9d\u7136\u6c92\u6709\u986f\u8457\u6539\u5584\u3002 \u5716\uff0f\u6cd5\u65b0\u793e\" src=\"https:\/\/pgw.udn.com.tw\/gw\/photo.php?u=https:\/\/uc.udn.com.tw\/photo\/2017\/11\/29\/99\/4394693.jpg&amp;x=0&amp;y=0&amp;sw=0&amp;sh=0&amp;sl=W&amp;fw=1050\" alt=\"\u5df4\u897f\u653f\u5e9c\u558a\u8a71\u7838\u5927\u9322\u6539\u5584\u6c59\u6c34\u8655\u7406\u7cfb\u7d71\uff0c\u4f462017\u5e74\u5e95\u4f9d\u7136\u6c92\u6709\u986f\u8457\u6539\u5584\u3002 \u5716\uff0f\u6cd5\u65b0\u793e\" 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class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>\u8a31\u591a\u4eba\u53ef\u80fd\u4ee5\u70ba\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u662f\u5426\u64c1\u6709\u8c50\u5bcc\u7684\u5929\u7136\u8cc7\u6e90\uff0c\u662f <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/2018\/01\/05\/%e8%b1%90%e5%af%8c%e5%a4%a9%e7%84%b6%e8%b3%87%e6%ba%90%e5%b0%b1%e8%83%bd%e5%b8%b6%e4%be%86%e5%bc%b7%e7%9b%9b%e5%9c%8b%e5%8a%9b%e5%97%8e%ef%bc%9f\/\" title=\"\u8c50\u5bcc\u5929\u7136\u8cc7\u6e90\u5c31\u80fd\u5e36\u4f86\u5f37\u76db\u570b\u529b\u55ce\uff1f\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9831","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news-opinion"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4VJae-2yz","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9831","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=9831"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9831\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":9832,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/9831\/revisions\/9832"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=9831"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=9831"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=9831"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}