{"id":8212,"date":"2016-03-17T03:40:50","date_gmt":"2016-03-16T19:40:50","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/?p=8212"},"modified":"2016-03-17T03:40:50","modified_gmt":"2016-03-16T19:40:50","slug":"20160316fed%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e6%9c%83%e8%ad%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/2016\/03\/17\/20160316fed%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e6%9c%83%e8%ad%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"20160316FED\u5229\u7387\u6703\u8b70"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"_1mf _1mj\"><span><span>Joe\uff1a\u300cYellen\u5c55\u73fe\u4e86\u76f8\u7576\u9d3f\u6d3e\u7684\u8a0a\u606f\u50be\u5411\u3002\u300d<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"_1mf _1mj\"><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"_1mf _1mj\"><span><span>\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u53ca\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u7e7c\u7e8c\u5b58\u5728\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u9ede\u9663\u5716\u986f\u793aFOMC\u4e0b\u8abf\u4e862016\u30012017\u30012018\u7684\u5229\u7387\u8def\u5f91\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7e7c\u7e8c\u4ee5\u6eab\u548c\u7684\u6b65\u4f10\u64f4\u5f35\uff0c\u57fa\u65bc\u8abf\u67e5\u7684\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u9810\u671f\u6301\u7a69\uff0c\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u5728\u8fd1\u5e7e\u500b\u6708\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u4f46\u77ed\u671f\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u5728\u4f4e\u9ede\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u66ab\u6642\u6027\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u6d88\u9000\uff0c\u9810\u671f\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u5c07\u5728\u4e2d\u671f\u5167\u5347\u52302%\u7684\u76ee\u6a19\u6c34\u6e96\uff0c\u9810\u8a082016\u5e74GDP\u6210\u95772.2%\u30012017\u5e74\u6210\u95772.1%\u30012018\u5e74\u6210\u95772.0%\uff0c\u5bb6\u5ead\u652f\u51fa\u7e7c\u7e8c\u6eab\u548c\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u5931\u696d\u7387\u5c07\u57282016\u5e74\u4fdd\u6301\u7a69\u5b9a\uff0c\u57282017\u30012018\u5e74\u8f15\u5fae\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u9032\u51fa\u53e3\u5df2\u7d93\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u5931\u696d\u73872016\u5e74\u672b\u70ba4.7%\uff0c2017\u5e74\u672b\u70ba4.6%\uff0c\u9810\u8a082016\u5e74\u6574\u9ad4\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u5c07\u8d70\u5f31\uff0c\u4f46\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u5c07\u4fdd\u6301\u7a69\u5b9a\uff0c\u9810\u8a082016\u5e74\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7387\u70ba1.2%\u30012017\u5e74\u70ba1.9%\u30012018\u5e74\u70ba2.0%\uff0c\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u4ee59\uff1a1\u7684\u6295\u7968\u6bd4\u901a\u904e\u4e86\u4fdd\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\u7684\u6c7a\u8b70\uff0cFOMC\u5b98\u54e1\u5c0d2016\u5e74\u806f\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u7684\u9810\u671f\u4e2d\u503c0.875%\u30012017\u5e74\u70ba1.875%\u30012018\u5e74\u70ba3.0%\uff0cKansas\u4e3b\u5e2d\u8d0a\u6210\u5347\u606f\u81f30.5%-0.75%\uff0cFOMC\u5b98\u54e1\u5c0d\u66f4\u9577\u671f\u9650\u7684\u806f\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u7684\u9810\u671f\u4e2d\u503c\u70ba3.25%\uff0c\u4fdd\u6301\u8cbc\u73fe\u5229\u7387\u57281.0%\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u9810\u8a082016\u5e74\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7387\u70ba1.6%\u30012017\u5e74\u70ba1.8%\u30012018\u5e74\u70ba2.0%\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<div class=\"_1mf _1mj\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"spotlight\" src=\"https:\/\/scontent-tpe1-1.xx.fbcdn.net\/hphotos-xfp1\/v\/t1.0-9\/10391852_10154062685237276_4425079373532111265_n.png?oh=58087d37ac85c29c515e58e72a263061&amp;oe=578D0116\" alt=\"\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"_1mf _1mj\"><span><span>Yellen\uff1a\u81ea2015\u5e7412\u6708\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9810\u671f\u6c92\u6709\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u3001\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u7e7c\u7e8c\u5b58\u5728\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u5728\u9069\u7576\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4e0b\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u53d6\u5f97\u7d93\u6fdf\u6eab\u548c\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u548c\u91d1\u878d\u5f62\u52e2\u9020\u6210\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5e02\u5834\u7e7c\u7e8c\u8868\u73fe\u5f37\u52c1\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5df2\u7d93\u63a5\u8fd1\u5145\u5206\u5c31\u696d\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u7b26\u5408\u5145\u5206\u5c31\u696d\u7684\u9810\u5224\uff0c\u5176\u4ed6\u5931\u696d\u7387\u6307\u6a19\u7e7c\u7e8c\u597d\u8f49\uff0c\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\u6539\u5584\u7a7a\u9593\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u5c0d\u5de5\u8cc7\u6210\u9577\u6c92\u6709\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5feb\u611f\u5230\u6709\u4e9b\u610f\u5916\uff0c\u5de5\u8cc7\u6210\u9577\u901f\u5ea6\u8f03\u4f4e\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u8457\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5e02\u5834\u4ecd\u5b58\u5728\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u75b2\u5f31\uff0c\u5de5\u8cc7\u9084\u6709\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u6f32\u7684\u7a7a\u9593\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u78ba\u5be6\u807d\u5230\u4e00\u4e9b\u95dc\u65bc\u85aa\u8cc7\u58d3\u529b\u7684\u574a\u9593\u5831\u544a\uff0c\u4f46\u6574\u9ad4\u8cc7\u6599\u4e26\u672a\u986f\u793a\u51fa\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u5de5\u8cc7\u6210\u9577\u901f\u5ea6\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u5bb6\u5ead\u8cc7\u7522\u8ca0\u50b5\u8868\u5df2\u7d93\u986f\u8457\u597d\u8f49\uff0c\u53d7\u60e0\u65bc\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u6b63\u5728\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u5e73\u7b49\u73fe\u8c61\u4e5f\u65e5\u76ca\u7a81\u51fa\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u90fd\u5b58\u5728\u6ea2\u51fa\u6548\u61c9\uff0c\u8a31\u591a\u570b\u5bb6\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u5c07\u9019\u500b\u554f\u984c\u7d0d\u5165\u8003\u91cf\uff0c\u8a31\u591a\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u5404\u570b\u592e\u884c\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u90fd\u51fa\u73fe\u5206\u6b67\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u80fd\u5920\u6709\u5225\u65bc\u6d77\u5916\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5f9e\u67d0\u500b\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u5206\u6b67\u5728\u9019\u500b\u6642\u5019\u662f\u81ea\u7136\u800c\u7136\u7684\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"_1mf _1mj\"><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"_1mf _1mj\"><span><span>\u5546\u696d\u6295\u8cc7\u75b2\u5f31\u90e8\u5206\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u539f\u6cb9\u884c\u696d\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u9810\u671f\u6cb9\u50f9\u5c07\u6301\u7a69\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u56de\u5347\u5230\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u6c34\u6e96\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6cb9\u50f9\u9054\u5230\u6bcf\u687650\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u63a8\u9ad8\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7387\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u6cb9\u50f9\u55ae\u7368\u8d70\u9ad8\u4e0d\u6703\u6709\u986f\u8457\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u770b\u5230\u77f3\u6cb9\u958b\u63a1\u6d3b\u52d5\u986f\u8457\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u5f88\u96e3\u8aaa\u6cb9\u50f9\u6c92\u6709\u4fc3\u9032\u6d88\u8cbb\u652f\u51fa\uff0cFOMC\u57fa\u672c\u5ffd\u7565\u6cb9\u50f9\u6ce2\u52d5\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"_1mf _1mj\"><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"_1mf _1mj\"><span><span>\u85aa\u8cc7\u6210\u9577\u901f\u5ea6\u5c1a\u672a\u8868\u73fe\u51fa\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u53c3\u8207\u7387\u5df2\u7d93\u986f\u8457\u4e0a\u5347\uff0cFOMC\u9810\u8a08\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u5c07\u7e7c\u7e8c\u6eab\u548c\u64f4\u5f35\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u5faa\u5e8f\u6f38\u9032\u5730\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5c07\u6210\u9577\uff0cPCE\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7387\u8868\u73fe\u51fa\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u6d88\u9000\u7684\u6548\u679c\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u9700\u8981\u898b\u5230\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7387\u6301\u7e8c\u8d70\u5f37\uff0c\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7387\u6599\u5728\u672a\u4f862-3\u5e74\u4e0a\u5347\u81f32%\uff0cGDP\u9810\u671f\u986f\u7136\u4f4e\u65bc12\u6708\u4efd\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u8a8d\u70ba\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7387\u9810\u671f\u7a69\u5b9a\u6027\u662f\u7406\u6240\u7576\u7136\u7684\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u5c0d\u4e2d\u6027\u5229\u7387\u672a\u4f86\u6703\u767c\u751f\u4f55\u7a2e\u8b8a\u5316\u4e26\u4e0d\u6a02\u89c0\uff0c\u8fd1\u671f\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u8cc7\u6599\u53ef\u80fd\u5c55\u73fe\u4e86\u81e8\u6642\u6027\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u8a8d\u70ba\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7387\u6703\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u8fd1\u671f\u7684\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u53ef\u80fd\u66f4\u591a\u6307\u5411\u5e02\u5834\u6ce2\u52d5\uff0c\u800c\u8207\u6838\u5fc3\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u95dc\u4fc2\u4e0d\u5927\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4e26\u975e\u8a66\u5716\u7b56\u52d5\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7387\u5347\u78342%\u7684\u76ee\u6a19\uff0cFOMC\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u76ee\u6a19\u662f\u5c0d\u7a31\u7684\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6578\u5b98\u54e1\u9810\u8a08\u672a\u4f86\u5c07\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u5118\u7ba1\u8f15\u5fae\u4e0b\u8abf\u4e86\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u4f46\u4f9d\u820a\u9ad8\u65bc\u6f5b\u5728\u7684\u589e\u9577\u6c34\u6e96\uff0cFOMC\u6c92\u6709\u505a\u51fa\u98a8\u96aa\u5e73\u8861\u504f\u5411\u4e0b\u884c\u7684\u96c6\u9ad4\u5224\u65b7\uff0c\u80fd\u6e90\u50f9\u683c\u53ca\u7f8e\u5143\u5c0d\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u69cb\u6210\u58d3\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u9019\u4e9b\u56e0\u7d20\u5c07\u96a8\u8457\u6642\u9593\u7684\u63a8\u79fb\u800c\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u6e1b\u5f31\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"_1mf _1mj\"><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"_1mf _1mj\"><span><span>\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7387\u8207\u5931\u696d\u7387\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u95dc\u806f\u4ecd\u7136\u5b58\u5728\uff0c\u5931\u696d\u7387\u8d70\u52e2\u73fe\u5728\u5df2\u7d93\u6eab\u548c\u5730\u5f71\u97ff\u5230\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7387\uff0c\u6211\u8a8d\u70ba\u83f2\u529b\u6d66\u65af\u66f2\u7dda\u4ecd\u7136\u6709\u6548\uff0c\u4e0d\u61c9\u7576\u904e\u5206\u8a87\u5927\u5931\u696d\u7387\u5c0d\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7684\u4f5c\u7528\uff0cFOMC\u6c92\u6709\u7a4d\u6975\u8a0e\u8ad6\u3001\u601d\u8003\u904e\u8ca0\u5229\u7387\uff0cFOMC\u5728\u7814\u7a76\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u8ca0\u5229\u7387\u7684\u6548\u679c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u9700\u8981\u66f4\u591a\u5bec\u9b06\u653f\u7b56\uff0cFOMC\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u5de5\u5177\uff0c\u524d\u77bb\u6307\u5f15\u4e4b\u985e\u7684\u5de5\u5177\u4ecd\u7136\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"_1mf _1mj\"><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"_1mf 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class=\"\">\n<div class=\"_1mf _1mj\"><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"_1mf _1mj\"><span><span>\u4e2d\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u901f\u653e\u7de9\u7b26\u5408\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u9810\u6e2c\u4eba\u58eb\u4e0b\u8abf\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u9810\u671f\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u7d93\u6fdf\u840e\u7e2e\u5728\u67d0\u7a2e\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0a\u8b93\u4eba\u611f\u5230\u610f\u5916\uff0c\u591a\u500b\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u53d7\u5230\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u548c\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u7d93\u6fdf\u90fd\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u901f\u7565\u986f\u75b2\u5f31\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u9810\u671f\u4e0b\u964d\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8db3\u4ee5\u5f71\u97ff\u5230FOMC\u7684\u9810\u671f\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"_1mf _1mj\"><span>\u00a0<\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"\">\n<div class=\"_1mf _1mj\"><span><span>FOMC\u662f\u8de8\u9ee8\u6d3e\u7684\u3001\u7368\u7acb\u6a5f\u69cb\uff0c\u6211\u5f9e\u672a\u898b\u904e\u653f\u6cbb\u89c0\u9ede\u5f71\u97ff\u5230FOMC\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u8077\u54e1\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u6d3b\u52d5\u5177\u6709\u6cd5\u5f8b\u7d04\u675f\u529b\uff0c\u6cd5\u5f8b\u5141\u8a31\u7af6\u9078\u6350\u6b3e\uff0c\u61c9\u7576\u7531\u6bcf\u500b\u4eba\u81ea\u5df1\u6c7a\u5b9a\u662f\u5426\u5408\u9069\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u9700\u8981\u8ca1\u653f\u7a69\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u6a02\u65bc\u898b\u5230\u53c3\u8b70\u9662\u63a8\u52d5FED\u63d0\u540d\u9032\u7a0b\uff0cFED\u5728\u5f37\u5316\u7f8e\u570b\u9280\u884c\u696d\u9ad4\u7cfb\u65b9\u9762\u505a\u4e86\u5927\u91cf\u5de5\u4f5c\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>Joe\uff1a\u300cYellen\u5c55\u73fe\u4e86\u76f8\u7576\u9d3f\u6d3e\u7684\u8a0a\u606f\u50be\u5411\u3002\u300d <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/2016\/03\/17\/20160316fed%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e6%9c%83%e8%ad%b0\/\" title=\"20160316FED\u5229\u7387\u6703\u8b70\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[31],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8212","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-investment-opinion"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4VJae-28s","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8212","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8212"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8212\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8213,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8212\/revisions\/8213"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8212"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8212"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8212"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}