{"id":8054,"date":"2016-01-11T22:42:52","date_gmt":"2016-01-11T14:42:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/?p=8054"},"modified":"2016-02-14T02:01:31","modified_gmt":"2016-02-13T18:01:31","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e7%9a%84%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f%e5%be%a9%e7%94%a6%e6%b2%92%e6%9c%89%e8%ae%93%e5%8f%b0%e7%81%a3%e8%b2%bf%e6%98%93%e5%8f%97%e6%83%a0%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/2016\/01\/11\/%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e7%9a%84%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f%e5%be%a9%e7%94%a6%e6%b2%92%e6%9c%89%e8%ae%93%e5%8f%b0%e7%81%a3%e8%b2%bf%e6%98%93%e5%8f%97%e6%83%a0%ef%bc%9f\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5fa9\u7526\u6c92\u6709\u8b93\u53f0\u7063\u8cbf\u6613\u53d7\u60e0\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u777d\u9055\u591a\u5e74\u5f8c\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u7d42\u65bc\u518d\u5ea6\u555f\u52d5\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u662f\u5728\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u76f8\u5c0d\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b\uff0c\u63d0\u5347\u5229\u7387\u3002\u9019\u610f\u5473\u8457\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5be6\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0d\u50c5\u662f\u6a02\u89c0\u5fa9\u7526\uff1a\u4e00\u500b\u7d93\u6fdf\u898f\u6a21 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src=\"http:\/\/www.naipo.com\/Portals\/1\/web_tw\/images\/pic0149-017-a02.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"559\" height=\"263\" \/><br \/>\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90<a href=\"http:\/\/www.tradingeconomics.com\/\">http:\/\/www.tradingeconomics.com\/<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Article_picinfo_normal\">\u57162\uff1a\u8fd1\u5341\u5e74\u4f86\u7f8e\u5143\u514c\u53f0\u5e63\u532f\u7387\u8d70\u52e2<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.naipo.com\/Portals\/1\/web_tw\/images\/pic0149-017-a04.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"562\" height=\"383\" border=\"0\" \/><br \/>\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90<a href=\"http:\/\/www.netdania.com\">http:\/\/www.netdania.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u9032\u51fa\u53e3\u8cbf\u6613\u5c0d\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u76f8\u7576\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u7522\u696d\uff0c\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u66f4\u5927\u3002\u53f0\u7063\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u7684\u9032\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u70ba\u4e86\u81ea\u7528\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u70ba\u4e86\u88fd\u9020\u52a0 \u5de5\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6c92\u6709\u51fa\u53e3\u5c31\u6c92\u6709\u9032\u53e3\u3002\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u666f\u6c23\u4e0d\u4f73\u7684\u8a71\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u7d93\u6fdf\u901a\u5e38\u4e0d\u6703\u7406\u60f3\uff0c\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u5c0d\u6c11\u9593\u6d88\u8cbb\u9020\u6210\u8ca0\u9762\u5f71\u97ff\u3002\u4ee5\u5f80\u4e2d\u592e\u9280\u884c\u6703\u900f\u904e\u5f31\u52e2\u532f\u7387\u4f86\u52a9\u9577\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u51fa\u53e3\u512a 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target=\"_top\">https:\/\/stock-ai.com<\/a>\u3001\u884c\u653f\u9662\u4e3b\u8a08\u7e3d\u8655<\/p>\n<p class=\"Article_picinfo_normal\">\u57164\uff1a\u53f0\u7063\u5916\u92b7\u8a02\u55ae\uff08\u7f8e\u570b\uff09\u5e74\u589e\u5e45\uff08%\uff09<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.naipo.com\/Portals\/1\/web_tw\/images\/pic0149-017-a08.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"568\" height=\"382\" border=\"0\" \/><br \/>\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/stock-ai.com\" target=\"_top\">https:\/\/stock-ai.com<\/a>\u3001\u884c\u653f\u9662\u4e3b\u8a08\u7e3d\u8655<\/p>\n<p class=\"Article_picinfo_normal\">\u57165\uff1a\u53f0\u7063\u5916\u92b7\u8a02\u55ae\uff08\u4e2d\u570b\u542b\u9999\u6e2f\uff09\u5e74\u589e\u5e45\uff08%\uff09<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.naipo.com\/Portals\/1\/web_tw\/images\/pic0149-017-a10.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"567\" height=\"395\" border=\"0\" \/><br \/>\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/stock-ai.com\" target=\"_top\">https:\/\/stock-ai.com<\/a>\u3001\u884c\u653f\u9662\u4e3b\u8a08\u7e3d\u8655<\/p>\n<p class=\"Article_picinfo_normal\">\u57166\uff1a2004~2014\u53f0\u7063\u6b77\u5e74\u5916\u92b7\u8a02\u55ae\u4f86\u6e90\u6bd4\u91cd<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.naipo.com\/Portals\/1\/web_tw\/images\/pic0149-017-a12.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"569\" height=\"418\" border=\"0\" \/><br \/>\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u7d93\u6fdf\u90e8\u7d71\u8a08\u8655\uff0c\u4f5c\u8005\u88fd\u5716<\/p>\n<p>\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u9084\u662f\u6709\u5f9e\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u4e2d\u53d7\u60e0\u3002\u4ed4\u7d30\u6bd4\u5c0d\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u5916\u92b7\u8a02\u55ae\u548c\u51fa\u53e3\u6578\u64da\uff0c2015\u5e74\u7f8e\u570b\u5f9e\u53f0\u7063\u9032\u53e3\u5546\u54c1\u7dad\u6301\u7a69\u5b9a\u6210\u9577\uff0c 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target=\"_top\">https:\/\/stock-ai.com<\/a>\u3001\u884c\u653f\u9662\u4e3b\u8a08\u7e3d\u8655<\/p>\n<p>\u9664\u4e86\u51fa\u53e3\u8cbf\u6613\u8868\u73fe\u4e0d\u4f73\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5167\u9700\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4f73\u30022015\u5e74\u53f0\u7063\u52de\u52d5\u4eba\u53e3\u6bd4\u91cd\u662f\u767e\u5e74\u4f86\u6700\u5f37\u7684\u6642\u523b\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u529b\u61c9\u8a72\u5728\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u9ad8 \u9ede\u5448\u73fe\u8f03\u5f37\u7684\u6210\u9577\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u622a\u81f32015\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e09\u5b63\u70ba\u6b62\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u6c11\u9593\u6d88\u8cbb\u7adf\u7136\u8dcc\u5165\u8ca0\u6210\u9577\u3002\u6c11\u9593\u6d88\u8cbb\u5360GDP\u7d44\u6210\u768460%\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u6c11\u9593\u6d88\u8cbb\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u7d93\u6fdf\u5f88\u96e3\u597d\u8f49\u3002\u53f0 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\u5132\u84c4\u5f15\u5c0e\u5230\u6c11\u9593\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u4e0d\u80fd\u904e\u5ea6\u96c6\u4e2d\u623f\u5730\u7522\uff0c\u4f01\u696d\u4e3b\u770b\u5f97\u5230\u5229\u6f64\u548c\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u5c31\u6703\u6709\u6295\u8cc7\u610f\u9858\uff0c\u6709\u6295\u8cc7\u548c\u7814\u767c\uff0c\u9644\u52a0\u50f9\u503c\u624d\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u63d0\u5347\u3002\u65b0\u8208\u7522\u696d\u4e5f\u80fd\u84ec\u52c3\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u5c31 \u696d\u548c\u85aa\u8cc7\u540c\u6642\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u6574\u500b\u5c31\u696d\u5e02\u5834\u624d\u80fd\u6b23\u6b23\u5411\u69ae\uff0c\u9019\u6a23\u6c11\u9593\u6d88\u8cbb\u7dad\u6301\u6210\u9577\u52d5\u529b\uff0c\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u6d88\u8cbb\u53c8\u80fd\u56de\u982d\u523a\u6fc0\u4f01\u696d\u7838\u9322\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u589e\u52a0\u71df\u904b\u5229\u6f64\u548c\u6548\u7387\uff0c\u6c11\u9593\u6295\u8cc7\u548c\u6c11\u9593\u6d88\u8cbb \u5c31\u80fd\u4e92\u88dc\u62c9\u62ac\u53f0\u7063\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u3002<\/p>\n<p class=\"Article_picinfo_normal\">\u57168\uff1a2000\u5e74\u81f3\u4eca\u5168\u7403\u51fa\u53e3\u503c\u5e74\u6210\u9577\u7387\u53ca2014\u5e74\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u570b\u5bb6\u51fa\u53e3\u4f54\u6bd4<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.naipo.com\/Portals\/1\/web_tw\/images\/pic0149-017-a16.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"533\" height=\"604\" border=\"0\" \/><br \/>\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpmorganfunds.com\" target=\"_top\">https:\/\/www.jpmorganfunds.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"Article_picinfo_normal\">\u57169\uff1a2006\u81f3\u4eca\u6ce2\u7f85\u7684\u6d77\u7d9c\u5408\u6307\u6578\uff08BDI\uff09\u8d70\u52e2<br \/>\n<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.naipo.com\/Portals\/1\/web_tw\/images\/pic0149-017-a18.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"537\" height=\"304\" border=\"0\" \/><br \/>\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<a href=\"https:\/\/stock-ai.com\" target=\"_top\">https:\/\/stock-ai.com<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u5f9e\u5168\u7403\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u8da8\u52e2\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u6539\u8b8a\u6b63\u919e\u91c0\u4e2d\u30022008\u5e74\u4ee5\u524d\u7684\u9ad8\u5ea6\u6210\u9577\u6d88\u901d\u4e86\uff0c2015\u5e74\u7684\u5168\u7403\u6574\u9ad4\u8cbf\u6613\u5e74\u589e\u7387\u66f4\u964d\u5230 0.5%\uff0c\u9019\u662f2010\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\u7684\u4f4e\u9ede\u3002\u63db\u53e5\u8a71\u8aaa\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u7684\u524d\u666f\u4e0d\u5bb9\u6a02\u89c0\uff0c\u6709\u4e9b\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6\u8a8d\u70ba\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u6e1b\u6162\u662f\u4e3b\u56e0\uff0c\u4f46\u6524\u958b\u5168\u7403\u4e3b\u8981\u8cbf\u6613\u51fa\u53e3\u570b\u7684\u51fa\u53e3 \u6578\u64da\uff0c\u4e0d\u96e3\u767c\u73fe\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u91cf\u90fd\u5728\u7e2e\u6c34\u3002\u6263\u9664\u5168\u7403\u666f\u6c23\u856d\u689d\u7684\u6642\u671f\uff08\u666f\u6c23\u856d\u689d\u6642\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u6d88\u8cbb\u840e\u7e2e\uff0c\u8cbf\u6613\u91cf\u4e5f\u6703\u540c\u6b65\u840e\u7e2e\uff09\uff0c\u4e0a\u6b21\u51fa\u73fe\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u7684\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u7e3d\u91cf\u7e2e \u6c34\u662f\u57281994\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u90a3\u662f\u7db2\u8def\u642d\u4e0a\u96fb\u8166\uff0c\u958b\u59cb\u84ec\u52c3\u767c\u5c55\u7684\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u4eba\u985e\u751f\u7522\u6548\u7387\u548c\u6d88\u8cbb\u6548\u7387\u63d0\u5347\u7684\u5e74\u4ee3\u3002<\/p>\n<p>2010\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u5247\u662f\u7db2\u8def\u642d\u4e0a\u624b\u6a5f\uff0c\u4eba\u624b\u4e00\u652f\u667a\u6167\u578b\u624b\u6a5f\u7684\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u8cbf\u6613\u7e3d\u91cf\u518d\u6b21\u51fa\u73fe\u7e2e\u6c34\u3002\u53c3\u8003\u66f4\u9577\u9060\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u7d93\u9a57\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u96b1\u7d04 \u767c\u73fe\uff0c\u4eba\u985e\u6bcf\u6b21\u51fa\u73fe\u751f\u7522\u529b\u6216\u6d88\u8cbb\u529b\u5168\u9762\u63d0\u5347\u6642\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7522\u696d\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u5287\u70c8\u8b8a\u52d5\u548c\u66f4\u8fed\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7e3d\u8cbf\u6613\u91cf\u4e5f\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u4e0d\u540c\u4ee5\u5f80\u7684\u6210\u9577\u6216\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u5834\u666f\u518d\u6b21\u51fa\u73fe\u4e86\u3002\u9019\u4e5f \u662f\u70ba\u4f55\u822a\u904b\u696d\u5e38\u7528\u7684BDI\u6ce2\u7f85\u7684\u6d77\u4e7e\u6563\u8ca8\u6307\u6578\uff08Baltic Dry Index, BDI\uff09\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u8861\u91cf\u904b\u8f38\u92fc\u6750\u3001\u7d19\u6f3f\u3001\u7a40\u7269\u3001\u7164\u3001\u7926\u7802\u3001\u78f7\u7926\u77f3\u3001\u92c1\u792c\u571f\u7b49\u6c11\u751f\u7269\u8cc7\u53ca\u5de5\u696d\u539f\u6599\u70ba\u4e3b\u7684\u822a\u904b\u6307\u6578\uff0c\u4ee5\u5f80\u53ef\u4ee5\u6709\u6548\u8861\u91cf\u6563\u88dd\u822a\u904b\u696d\u71df\u904b\u72c0\u6cc1\u8207\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf \u666f\u6c23\u597d\u58de\u3001\u539f\u7269\u6599\u884c\u60c5\u9ad8\u4f4e\u7684\u6307\u6a19\uff0c 2010\u5e74\u4ee5\u5f8c\u5b8c\u5168\u5931\u6548\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u5f9e11000\u4ee5\u4e0a\u8dcc\u843d\u81f3500\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u53ef\u662f\u5168\u7403\u666f\u6c23\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u5f9e2010\u5e74\u8870\u9000\u52302015\u5e74\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u7684\u8cbf\u6613\u7d50\u69cb\u548c\u6d88\u8cbb\u6a21\u5f0f\u51fa\u73fe\u7d50 \u69cb\u6027\u7684\u6539\u8b8a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8861\u91cf\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u9019\u500b\u8861\u91cf\u5de5\u5177\u81ea\u7136\u6703\u5931\u6548\u3002<\/p>\n<p>21\u4e16\u7d00\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u767c\u5c55\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u5f9e\u5a92\u9ad4\u8b8a\u9769\u3001\u751f\u7522\u7dda\u7ba1\u7406\u3001\u666f\u6c23\u5faa\u74b0\u3001\u7db2\u8def\u79d1\u6280\u3001\u884c\u92b7\u7ba1\u7406\u3001\u8ecd\u4e8b\u5e03\u5c40\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u6642\u9593\u90fd\u662f\u53d7\u5230 \u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u7522\u696d\u8f2a\u66ff\u6f6e\u6d41\u6240\u5f71\u97ff\u30022010\u5e74\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u4f01\u696d\u751f\u7522\u529b\u7684\u55ae\u4f4d\u6210\u672c\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u4e86\uff0c\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u662f\u9801\u5ca9\u6c23\u9769\u547d\u5e36\u52d5\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u548c\u80fd\u6e90\u751f\u7522\u6210\u672c\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u662f\u4f01\u696d \u5c0d\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u7684\u9700\u6c42\u638c\u63e1\u7cbe\u6e96\u5ea6\u660e\u986f\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u8a31\u591a\u65b0\u8208\u7db2\u8def\u79d1\u6280\u7522\u696d\u9010\u6f38\u8de8\u9818\u57df\u767c\u5c55\uff0c\u7db2\u8def\u7d50\u5408\u91d1\u878d\u3001\u6d88\u8cbb\u3001\u5a92\u9ad4\u3001\u904a\u6232\u3001\u91ab\u7642\u7b49\u6848\u4f8b\u5c62\u898b\u4e0d\u986f\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u5927\u6578\u64da\u548c\u96f2\u7aef\u5e73\u53f0\u7684 \u5404\u7a2e\u904b\u4f5c\u52a0\u4e58\uff0c\u7f8e\u570bS&amp;P500\u4f01\u696d\u7684\u5f8c\u53f0\u512a\u5316\u7ba1\u7406\u5e7e\u4e4e\u4f86\u5230\u4e86\u4eba\u985e\u6b77\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u4f73\u9032\u6b65\u72c0\u614b\u3002\u7f8e\u570b\u6c11\u9593\u6d88\u8cbb\u5c62\u5275\u65b0\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u7dad\u6301\u96f6\u5eab\u5b58\u548c\u4f4e\u5eab\u5b58\u7684\u4f01\u696d\u7adf\u7136\u53ef \u4ee5\u6bd4\u91cd\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u4ee3\u8868\u4f01\u696d\u5c0d\u6d88\u8cbb\u8005\u9700\u6c42\u4ee5\u53ca\u751f\u7522\u7ba1\u7406\u6548\u7387\u7684\u638c\u63e1\u80fd\u529b\u5927\u5927\u63d0\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7136\u800c\u7f8e\u570b\u4ee5\u5916\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u9084\u6c92\u6709\u8ddf\u4e0a\u9019\u500b\u8173\u6b65\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u662f\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u548c\u82f1\u570b\u9019\u6a23\u7684\u5df2\u958b\u767c\u570b\u5bb6\u4e5f\u4e0d\u4f8b\u5916\u3002\u4e0d\u540c\u65bc\u4ee5\u5f80\u7684\u786c\u9ad4\u8b8a\u9769\uff0c\u9019\u6b21\u7684\u8b8a\u9769 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\u66ff\u30022015\u5e74\u7684\u53f0\u7063\uff0c\u4f60\u770b\u7684\u5230\u7684\u7db2\u8def\u79d1\u6280\u6f5b\u529b\u4f01\u696d\u5728\u54ea\u88e1\uff1f\u9084\u662f\u53f0\u7063\u4ecd\u7136\u60f3\u7528\u53f0\u7a4d\u96fb\u3001\u806f\u767c\u79d1\u3001ASUS\u3001ACER\u3001\u5b8f\u9054\u96fb\u3001\u9d3b\u6d77\u7b49\u8001\u724c\u4f01\u696d\u6253\u5929\u4e0b\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>http:\/\/www.naipo.com\/Portals\/1\/web_tw\/Knowledge_Center\/Editorial\/publish-304.htm<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>\u777d\u9055\u591a\u5e74\u5f8c\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u7d42\u65bc\u518d\u5ea6\u555f\u52d5\u5347\u606f\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u662f\u5728\u901a <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/2016\/01\/11\/%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e7%9a%84%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f%e5%be%a9%e7%94%a6%e6%b2%92%e6%9c%89%e8%ae%93%e5%8f%b0%e7%81%a3%e8%b2%bf%e6%98%93%e5%8f%97%e6%83%a0%ef%bc%9f\/\" 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