{"id":7654,"date":"2015-09-20T11:09:52","date_gmt":"2015-09-20T03:09:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/?p=7654"},"modified":"2015-09-20T11:09:52","modified_gmt":"2015-09-20T03:09:52","slug":"%e4%ba%ba%e5%8f%a3%e7%b5%90%e6%a7%8b%e5%b0%8d%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f%e6%88%90%e9%95%b7%e7%9a%84%e9%87%8d%e8%a6%81%e6%80%a7%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/2015\/09\/20\/%e4%ba%ba%e5%8f%a3%e7%b5%90%e6%a7%8b%e5%b0%8d%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f%e6%88%90%e9%95%b7%e7%9a%84%e9%87%8d%e8%a6%81%e6%80%a7%ef%bc%9f\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4eba\u53e3\u7d50\u69cb\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6027\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"

1950\u52301960\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u548c\u5357\u97d3\u53d7\u5230\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u548c\u7d93\u6fdf\u63f4\u52a9\uff0c\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u548c\u9999\u6e2f\u5247\u5728\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u8207\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u7cfb\u5f71\u97ff\u4e2d\u767c\u5c55\u3002\u5728\u9019\u4e9b\u5df2\u958b\u767c\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u300c\u5354\u52a9\u300d \u4e0b\uff0c1970\u52301990\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u9019\u56db\u500b\u5730\u65b9\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\u76f8\u5c0d\u5feb\u901f\u65bc\u5468\u908a\u9130\u570b\uff0c\u88ab\u8b7d\u70ba\u300c\u4e9e\u6d32\u56db\u5c0f\u9f8d\u300d\uff0c\u9019\u6bb5\u6642\u9593\u53f0\u7063\u653f\u6cbb\u7a69\u5b9a\u548c\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u88ab\u7a31\u70ba\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u300c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5947 \u8e5f\u300d\u3002\u76f4\u52302015\u5e74\uff0c\u5f88\u591a\u53f0\u7063\u5a92\u9ad4\u6216\u4e2d\u5e74\u53f0\u7063\u4eba\uff0c\u4e09\u4e0d\u4e94\u6642\u4ecd\u7136\u63d0\u8d77\u9019\u6bb5\u5149\u69ae\u6642\u523b\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u4e0a\u8ff0\u9019\u4e9b\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad8\u901f\u6210\u9577\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u80cc\u5f8c \u6210\u529f\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u771f\u7684\u662f\u300c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5947\u8e5f\u300d\u55ce\uff1f\u6216\u8005\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u66ab\u6642\u6027\u7d93\u6fdf\u5229\u591a\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u67d0\u4e9b\u7d93\u6fdf\u8da8\u52e2\u767c\u5c55\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u904e\u7a0b\uff1f\u7e41\u69ae\u548c\u856d\u689d\u672c\u4f86\u5c31\u662f\u6b63\u5e38\u7684\u666f\u6c23\u5faa\u74b0\uff0c\u4eba\u5011\u628a\u7e41\u69ae\u7a31\u70ba\u300c\u7d93\u6fdf \u5947\u8e5f\u300d\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u856d\u689d\u662f\u300c\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u610f\u5916\u300d\u55ce\uff1f<\/p>\n

\u5f9e\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7684\u89d2\u5ea6\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u4e00\u500b\u7fa4\u9ad4\u7684\u6578\u91cf\u5920\u591a\uff0c\u5c31\u6703\u5f62\u6210\u4e00\u7a2e\u7d05\u5229\uff0c\u8b93\u8cc7\u6e90\u5f80\u4ed6\u5011\u96c6\u4e2d\u3002\u4ee5\u53f0\u7063\u70ba\u4f8b\uff0c\u5c45\u4f4f\u5728\u53f0\u5317\u5e02\u548c\u53f0\u6771\u7e23\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\uff0c\u4e00 \u6a23\u7d0d\u7a05\uff0c\u4f46\u6bcf\u4f4d\u5c45\u6c11\u53ef\u4ee5\u4eab\u53d7\u7684\u8cc7\u6e90\u5927\u4e0d\u76f8\u540c\uff0c\u53f0\u5317\u5e02\u64c1\u6709\u66f4\u591a\u4eba\u53e3\u7522\u751f\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u8cc7\u6e90\u7d05\u5229\u3002\u4f46\u4e26\u975e\u4eba\u591a\u5c31\u4ee3\u8868\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u4ee5\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u898f\u6a21\u4f86\u8aaa\uff0c\u4eba\u6c11\u7684\u7d20\u8cea\u6703\u6bd4\u4eba \u53e3\u591a\u5be1\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u66f4\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u5728\u8fb2\u696d\u793e\u6703\u6642\u4ee3\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u6578\u91cf\u9f90\u5927\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\u548c\u5370\u5ea6\uff0cGDP\u751f\u7522\u529b\u9577\u671f\u4f4d\u5c45\u4e16\u754c\u7b2c\u4e00\u548c\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u4eba\u5011\u5e73\u5747\u58fd\u547d\u4e0d\u9577\uff0c\u570b\u6c11\u7d20\u8cea\u7684\u512a\u52e2\u4e26\u4e0d\u660e\u986f\uff1b\u4f46 \u662f\u9032\u516520\u4e16\u7d00\u7684\u73fe\u4ee3\u5316\u793e\u6703\u5f8c\uff0c\u570b\u6c11\u7684\u7d20\u8cea\u5c0d\u570b\u5bb6\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\u76f8\u7576\u91cd\u8981\u3002\u8a55\u4f30\u570b\u6c11\u7d20\u8cea\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u5f88\u591a\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u900f\u904e\u570b\u5bb6\u4eba\u53e3\u5e74\u9f61\u7d50\u69cb\u4f86\u5256\u6790\u570b\u6c11\u7d20\u8cea\u662f\u4e00\u7a2e\u5e38\u898b\u7684\u65b9 \u5f0f\uff0c\u5f9e\u8a31\u591a\u570b\u5bb6\u4e8c\u6b21\u5927\u6230\u5f8c\u7684\u767c\u5c55\u6b77\u53f2\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u7d50\u69cb\u5c0d\u65bc\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\u76f8\u7576\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u8aaa\u662f\u6700\u9996\u8981\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n

\u57161\uff1a\u5404\u570b\u4f54\u5168\u7403GDP\u6bd4\u7387\u8b8a\u5316 <\/strong>
\n\"\" <\/strong>
\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u4eba\uff1b\u4f5c\u8005\u6574\u7406 <\/strong><\/p>\n

\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5b9a\u7fa9\uff1a\u4e00\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u5341\u4e94\uff5e\u516d\u5341\u56db\u6b72\u7684\u4eba\u6c11\uff0c\u7a31\u70ba\u52de\u52d5\u4eba\u53e3\uff1b\u52de\u52d5\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u6578\u91cf\u5360\u5168\u570b\u7e3d\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c\u7a31\u70ba\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u6bd4\u4f8b\u3002\u5982\u679c\u9019\u500b\u6bd4\u4f8b \u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u662f\u4e0a\u5347\u7684\uff0c\u7a31\u70ba\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\uff08Demographic Dividend\uff09\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u8da8\u52e2\u662f\u4e0b\u6ed1\u7684\uff0c\u7a31\u70ba\u4eba\u53e3\u8ca0\u50b5\uff08Demographic Debt\uff09\uff0c\u8a31\u591a\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad8\u901f\u6210\u9577\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u80cc\u5f8c\u90fd\u6703\u642d\u914d\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u7684\u6210\u9577\uff1b\u8870\u9000\u5247\u6709\u4eba\u53e3\u8ca0\u50b5\u7684\u6642\u7a7a\u80cc\u666f\u3002\u89c0\u5bdf\u4e00\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\u524d\u666f\uff0c\u300c\u4eba\u53e3\u7d50\u69cb\u300d\u8b70\u984c \u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u91cd\u8996\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5168\u7403\u8a31\u591a\u5df2\u958b\u767c\u570b\u5bb6\u90fd\u5df2\u7d93\u9032\u5165\u4eba\u53e3\u8ca0\u50b5\u7d50\u69cb\u3002\u82f1\u570b\u662f\u5df2\u958b\u767c\u5de5\u696d\u570b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5f88\u65e9\u5c31\u9762\u81e8\u4eba\u53e3\u8ca0\u50b5\u7d50\u69cb\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u30021980\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u5728\u67f4\u5951 \u723e\u592b\u4eba\uff08Margaret Hilda Thatcher\uff09\u9818\u5c0e\u4e0b\u7d93\u6fdf\u8f49\u597d\uff1b\u4f46\u52301988\u5e74\u5f8c\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u9010\u6f38\u4e0b\u6ed1\u3002\u76f4\u52301993\u5e74\uff0c\u5728\u9996\u76f8\u5e03\u840a\u723e\uff08Anthony Charles Lynton Blair\uff09\u7684\u5e36\u9818\u4e0b\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u53c8\u6062\u5fa9\u6210\u9577\u81f32007\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n

\u57162\uff1a1970~2010\u82f1\u570bGDP\u6210\u9577\u7387\uff08\u5b63\uff09\u8207\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u8d70\u52e2\uff08\u5e74\uff09 <\/strong>
\n\"\" <\/strong>
\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<\/strong>http:\/\/www.tradingeconmics.com<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

\u5c0d\u7167\u82f1\u570b\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u8207\u7d93\u6fdf\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u5169\u8005\u7684\u8da8\u52e2\u5e7e\u4e4e\u4e0d\u8b00\u800c\u5408\u3002\u7d93\u6fdf\u5947\u8e5f\u7d55\u975e\u5076\u7136\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5728\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u7684\u524d\u63d0\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u642d\u914d\u7a69\u5b9a\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u9069\u7576\u653f\u7b56\u6240\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u6210\u679c\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6a6b\u8de8\u6b50\u4e9e\u7684\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\uff0c\u524d\u8eab\u662f\u8607\u806f\uff0c1990\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u8607\u806f\u9818\u5c0e\u4eba\u6208\u5df4\u5951\u592b\uff08Mikhail Gorbachev\uff09\u5ba3\u5e03\u8607\u806f\u74e6\u89e3\u3002\u56e0\u70ba\u4eba\u6c11\u6c11\u751f\u7522\u696d\u548c\u8ecd\u5de5\u696d\u7684\u767c\u5c55\u5df2\u7d93\u5b8c\u5168\u5931\u8861\uff0c\u5f9e\u8607\u806f\u7576\u6642\u7684\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u8d70\u52e2\u53ef\u77e5\uff0c\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0b\u6ed1\u7684\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u4ea6\u70ba\u5c0e\u81f4\u8607\u806f\u89e3\u9ad4\u7684\u539f\u56e0 \u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u76f4\u52302000\u5e74\uff0c\u65b0\u4efb\u7e3d\u7d71\u666e\u4ead\uff08Vladimir Vladimirovich Putin\uff09\u5f8c\uff0cGDP\u958b\u59cb\u4ee5\u591a\u5143\u7522\u696d\u767c\u5c55\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u6210\u9577\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u88ab\u7a31\u70ba\u300c\u91d1\u78da\u56db\u570b\uff08<\/strong>BRIC<\/strong>\uff09<\/strong>\u300d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u57163\uff1a\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af1995~2010 GDP\u5e74\u6210\u9577\u7387\u82071975~2010\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u8d70\u52e2 <\/strong>
\n\"\" <\/strong>
\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<\/strong>http:\/\/tradingeconomics.com<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

2009\u5e74\u4ee5\u5f8c\uff0c\u91d1\u78da\u56db\u570b\u982d\u929c\u5149\u8292\u4e0d\u518d\u3002\u5f9e\u570b\u5bb6\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u7684\u8d70\u52e2\u770b\u4f86\uff0c2010\u5e74\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u9032\u5165\u4e0b\u6ed1\u8da8\u52e2\u7684\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\u5c07\u96e3\u4ee5\u6062\u5fa9\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u9ad8\u901f\u6210\u9577\uff1b\u90a3\u9ebc\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u57282000\u301c2008\u5e74\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u771f\u7684\u662f\u666e\u4ead\u7684\u529f\u52de\u55ce\uff1f<\/p>\n

\u66f4\u8a73\u7d30\u7684\u5206\u6790\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7522\u696d\u7d50\u69cb\uff0c\u5c31\u4e0d\u96e3\u767c\u73fe\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e3b\u8ef8\u90fd\u570d\u7e5e\u5728\u80fd\u6e90\u548c\u539f\u7269\u6599\u7522\u696d\u4e0a\u30022000\u301c2011\u5e74\u525b\u597d\u662f\u5168\u7403\u539f \u7269\u6599\u5927\u591a\u982d\u6642\u4ee3\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u53d7\u60e0\u65bc\u539f\u7269\u6599\u98c6\u6f32\u548c\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u7684\u52a0\u4e58\u6548\u679c\uff0c\u624d\u6709\u4eae\u773c\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u30022012\u5e74\u4ee5\u5f8c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u57f7\u653f\u8005\u4ecd\u7136\u662f\u666e\u4ead\uff0c\u4f46\u5c11\u4e86\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u548c\u539f\u7269\u6599\u591a\u982d \u8b77\u822a\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7d93\u6fdf\u5c31\u51fa\u73fe\u5982\u6b64\u5927\u7684\u843d\u5dee\u3002\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u548c\u539f\u7269\u6599\u591a\u982d\u5c0d\u65bc\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u5f88\u660e\u986f\u66f4\u751a\u65bc\u666e\u4ead\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4e16\u754c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u5927\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\uff1a\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u4e5f\u660e\u986f\u548c\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u6709\u76f4\u63a5\u95dc\u4fc2\u30021980\u5e74\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u6b77\u7d93\u4e94\u4f4d\u4e2d\u5171\u4e2d\u592e\u7e3d\u66f8\u8a18\u2500\u2500\u5305\u62ec\u80e1\u8000\u90a6\u3001\u8d99 \u7d2b\u967d\u3001\u6c5f\u6fa4\u6c11\u3001\u80e1\u9326\u6fe4\u3001\u7fd2\u8fd1\u5e73\u30021979\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u5b98\u65b9\u5be6\u65bd\u300c\u4e00\u80ce\u5316\u7bc0\u80b2\u653f\u7b56\u300d\u4ee5\u5f8c\uff0c\u6b77\u7d9315\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u7684\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u5347\uff1b\u518d\u52a0\u4e0a\u4e2d\u570b\u4e3b\u8981\u9818\u5c0e\u4eba\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u9127\u5c0f \u5e73\uff0c\u57281980\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u6539\u9769\u8207\u5c0d\u5916\u64f4\u5927\u8cbf\u6613\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u4e2d\u570b\u7684GDP\uff0c\u57281995\u5e74\u4ee5\u5f8c\u9010\u6f38\u5927\u5e45\u6210\u9577\u30022015\u5e74\u4ee5\u524d\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u7684\u5927\u5e45\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u5438\u5f15\u5916\u570b\u4f01\u696d\u7684 \u5927\u91cf\u8cc7\u91d1\u548c\u6280\u8853\u6295\u5165\uff0c\u5e74\u5ea6GDP\u6210\u9577\u7387\u5373\u4f7f\u5728\u5168\u7403\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u7684\u666f\u6c23\u856d\u689d\uff0c\u4ecd\u7136\u80fd\u4fdd\u63016%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u6210\u9577\u3002\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u642d\u914d\u9069\u7576\u653f\u7b56\u767c\u5c55\u51fa\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6548\u76ca\uff0c\u975e\u5e38\u53ef\u89c0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u57164\uff1a\u4e2d\u570b1970~2012 GDP\u7e3d\u91cf\u8b8a\u5316\u82071950~2030\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u8d70\u52e2 <\/strong>
\n\"\" <\/strong>
\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a<\/strong>http:\/\/www.tradingeconomics.com<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

\u4f462015\u5e74\u904e\u5f8c\uff0c\u4e2d\u570b\u9032\u5165\u4eba\u53e3\u8ca0\u50b5\u7d50\u69cb\uff0c\u5167\u9700\u6d88\u8cbb\u6210\u9577\u9072\u7de9\uff0c\u7522\u80fd\u904e\u5269\u7684\u554f\u984c\u5c07\u6703\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u56b4\u91cd\uff0c\u6c11\u9593\u5bb6\u5ead\u7684\u6276\u990a\u8ca0\u64d4\u4e5f\u6703\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u3002\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u7684\u4e2d\u570b\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u5c07\u6703\u8d8a\u4f86\u8d8a\u7de9\u6162\u3002<\/p>\n

\u540c\u6a23\u4f4d\u65bc\u6771\u4e9e\u7684\u5357\u97d3\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5f9e1965\u5e74\u4ee5\u5f8c\uff0c\u958b\u59cb\u7a69\u5b9a\u4e0a\u5347\u30021980\u5e74\u4ee5\u5f8c\uff0c\u6b77\u4efb\u4e3b\u8981\u7e3d\u7d71\u70ba\u5168\u6597\u7165\u3001\u76e7\u6cf0\u611a\u3001\u91d1\u6cf3\u4e09\u3001\u91d1 \u5927\u4e2d\u3001\u76e7\u6b66\u9249\u3001\u674e\u660e\u535a\uff0c\u9664\u4e861981\u5e74\u7684\u666f\u6c23\u4f4e\u8ff7\u5916\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u6642\u5019GDP\u90fd\u662f\u6b63\u6210\u9577\uff1b\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u57281970\uff5e1990\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0cGDP\u6210\u9577\u7d93\u5e38\u8d85\u904e4%\uff0c\u8207\u540c\u6a23\u4f4d\u65bc\u6771 \u4e9e\u7684\u53f0\u7063\uff0c\u9577\u671f\u4e92\u70ba\u7af6\u722d\u5c0d\u624b\u3002\u5357\u97d3\u7e3d\u7d71\u662f\u5426\u57f7\u653f\u6709\u65b9\u6c92\u8fa6\u6cd5\u78ba\u5b9a\uff0c\u4f46\u9577\u905450\u5e74\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u7684\u512a\u52e2\uff0c\u5c0d\u5357\u97d3\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u7d55\u5c0d\u529f\u4e0d\u53ef\u6c92\u3002<\/p>\n

\u57165\uff1a\u5357\u97d31970~2012GDP\u5b63\u6210\u9577\u7387\u82071975~2010\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u8d70\u52e2 <\/strong>
\n\"\"
\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1ahttp:\/\/www.tradingeconomics.com<\/a><\/p>\n

1990\u5e74\u4ee3\u4ee5\u524d\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u653f\u5e9c\u63cf\u8ff0\u7684\u300c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5947\u8e5f\u300d\uff0c\u4e8b\u5be6\u4e0a\u53ea\u662f\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u7684\u52a0\u4e58\u6548\u679c\uff0c\u4e26\u975e\u4efb\u4f55\u5947\u8e5f\u30021960\u5e74\u4ee3\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u6230\u5f8c \u5b30\u5152\u6f6e\u9678\u7e8c\u9032\u5165\u6c42\u5b78\u968e\u6bb5\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u5404\u500b\u9ad8\u4e2d\u3001\u570b\u4e2d\u3001\u5c0f\u5b78\u6578\u91cf\u4e0d\u8db3\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u589e\u52a0\u5404\u7a2e\u57fa\u790e\u5efa\u8a2d\u30021980\u5e74\u4ee3\u548c1990\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u5b30\u5152\u6f6e\u4e16\u4ee3\u958b\u59cb\u6210\u5bb6\u7acb\u696d\u3001\u5c31\u696d\u8207\u6d88\u8cbb\u65fa \u76db\u6642\u671f\u3002\u6b64\u6642\u5ec9\u50f9\u7684\u52de\u52d5\u529b\uff0c\u5438\u5f15\u6b50\u7f8e\u5916\u570b\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u9032\u5165\u53f0\u7063\uff0c\u5c31\u696d\u6a5f\u6703\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u52de\u52d5\u8077\u7f3a\u589e\u52a0\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u9060\u9060\u8d85\u904e\u53f0\u7063\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u589e\u52a0\u901f\u5ea6\uff1b\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u4f9b\u4e0d\u61c9\u6c42\uff0c\u6536\u5165\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c \u9032\u800c\u5e36\u52d5\u5168\u6c11\u6d88\u8cbb\uff0c\u6d88\u8cbb\u518d\u7522\u751f\u5404\u7a2e\u7522\u696d\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u9054\u5230\u6240\u8b02\u300c\u53f0\u7063\u9322\u6df9\u8173\u76ee\u300d\u7684\u76db\u6cc1\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53f0\u7063\u5b30\u5152\u6f6e\u4e16\u4ee3\u7d50\u5a5a\u751f\u5b50\uff0c\u8cb7\u623f\u7f6e\u7522\uff0c\u623f\u5730\u7522\u9700\u6c42\u5f37\u52c1\uff0c\u5e36\u52d5\u5efa\u7bc9\u696d\u8207\u670d\u52d9\u696d\u3002\u90a3\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u53f0\u7063\u7d93\u6fdf\u5947\u8e5f\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u81ea\u7531\u7d93\u6fdf\u653f\u7b56\u914d\u5408\uff0c\u5f15\u5c0e \u5916\u570b\u88fd\u9020\u696d\u9032\u5165\u53f0\u7063\u6295\u8cc7\u751f\u7522\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u300c\u4eba\u53e3\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5feb\u901f\u4e0a\u5347\u300d\u7522\u751f\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6548\u61c9\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6c92\u6709\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5feb\u901f\u4e0a\u5347\u4ee5\u53ca\u76f8\u5c0d\u4f4e\u5ec9\u7684\u52de\u5de5\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u52de\u529b\u5bc6\u96c6\u5ea6\u9ad8\u7684\u5916\u570b\u4f01\u696d\uff0c\u6839\u672c \u4e0d\u6703\u5230\u53f0\u7063\u6295\u8cc7\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u300c\u5178\u578b\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u300d\u52a0\u4e0a\u300c\u81ea\u7531\u958b\u653e\u653f\u7b56\u300d\u6240\u7522\u751f\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\u3002<\/p>\n

\u57166\uff1a\u53f0\u70631960~2012\u5e74\u5ea6GDP\u6210\u9577\u7387\u82071975~2010\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u8d70\u52e2 <\/strong>
\n\"\" <\/strong>
\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u806f\u5408\u570b\u3001<\/strong>http:\/\/www.tradingeconomics.com<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

\u4e00\u500b\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\u8981\u8003\u91cf\u548c\u898f\u5283\u7684\u8981\u7d20\u76f8\u7576\u591a\uff0c\u800c\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u53ef\u4ee5\u8aaa\u662f\u5c0d\u570b\u5bb6\u9577\u671f\u767c\u5c55\u6700\u5927\u6548\u76ca\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u53ea\u8981\u6709\u9577\u671f\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\uff0c\u5c0d\u5916 \u958b\u653e\u8cbf\u6613\uff0c\u9069\u7576\u5438\u5f15\u71b1\u9322\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u57f9\u690d\u570b\u5bb6\u7279\u5b9a\u7522\u696d\uff0c\u8a72\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u767c\u5c55\u901a\u5e38\u4e0d\u6703\u592a\u7cdf\u7cd5\u3002\u4f46\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u4eba\u6c11\u6703\u96a8\u8457\u9577\u6642\u9593\u800c\u8870\u8001\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u6703\u8f49\u70ba\u4eba\u53e3\u8ca0\u50b5\uff0c\u89c0\u5bdf\u8655\u65bc\u4eba\u53e3 \u8ca0\u50b5\u7d50\u69cb\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u5e7e\u4e4e\u90fd\u6703\u9762\u81e8\u4e0b\u5217\u554f\u984c\uff1a\u570b\u50b5\u5927\u5e45\u589e\u52a0\u3001\u6c11\u9593\u6d88\u8cbb\u96e3\u4ee5\u6210\u9577\u3001\u4eba\u53e3\u9ad8\u9f61\u5316\u3001\u623f\u5730\u7522\u6ce1\u6cab\u3001\u6240\u6709\u7522\u696d\u71df\u904b\u5229\u6f64\u4f4e\u3001\u4f01\u696d\u6649\u5347\u5236\u5ea6\u7671\u7613\u3001\u793e\u6703\u798f\u5229\u5236\u5ea6 \u7834\u7522\u3001\u91ab\u7642\u8cc7\u6e90\u5206\u914d\u4e0d\u5747\u3001\u5e74\u8f15\u4eba\u9ad8\u5931\u696d\u7387\u3001\u5916\u570b\u4f01\u696d\u505c\u6b62\u6295\u8cc7\u6216\u4f01\u696d\u51fa\u8d70\u2026\u2026\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u554f\u984c\u4e00\u65e6\u6d6e\u73fe\uff0c\u570b\u5bb6\u8ca1\u653f\u4e00\u5b9a\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u5371\u6a5f\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u9677\u5165\u666f\u6c23\u8870\u9000\u7684\u60e1\u6027\u5faa\u74b0\u3002<\/p>\n

\u57167\uff1a1995~2012\u5e0c\u81d8\u50b5\u52d9\u4f54GDP\u6bd4\u4f8b\u30011950~2030\u6b50\u76df\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u8d70\u52e2 <\/strong>
\n\"\" <\/strong>
\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u806f\u5408\u570b\u3001<\/strong>http:\/\/www.tradingeconomics.com<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

\u73fe\u4eca\u5927\u591a\u6578\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u90fd\u9762\u81e8\u570b\u5bb6\u50b5\u52d9\u7684\u554f\u984c\uff0c\u53ea\u662f\u6bd4\u91cd\u591a\u5be1\u7684\u5dee\u5225\u3002\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u904e\u5f8c\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\uff0c\u5176\u50b5\u52d9\u589e\u52a0\u901f\u5ea6\u975e\u5e38\u5feb\u901f\uff0c\u8a31\u591a\u570b\u5bb6\u90fd\u6703\u4ee5 \u8209\u50b5\u4f5c\u70ba\u8ca1\u653f\u624b\u6bb5\u3002\u4ee5\u5e0c\u81d8\u70ba\u4f8b\uff0c2008\u5e74\u4ee5\u524d\uff0c\u5e0c\u81d8\u570b\u50b5\u5360GDP\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u4ecd\u7dad\u6301\u5728107%\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4f46\u904e\u4e862010\u5e74\uff0c\u6b50\u76df\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u8017\u76e1\uff0c\u570b\u969b\u6295\u6a5f\u5ba2\u8207\u5c0d\u6c96\u57fa \u91d1\u7d44\u7e54\u9032\u653b\u5e0c\u81d8\uff0c\u5e0c\u81d8\u570b\u50b5\u7acb\u523b\u5927\u5e45\u6500\u5347\uff0c\u901f\u5ea6\u4e4b\u5feb\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u5b98\u54e1\u63aa\u624b\u4e0d\u53ca\u3002\u7b49\u52302011\u5e74\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u6709\u5fc3\u60f3\u62ef\u6551\u5e0c\u81d8\u4e4b\u6642\uff0c\u5e0c\u81d8\u5df2\u8b8a\u6210\u71d9\u624b\u5c71\u828b\uff0c\u9577\u5e74\u9677\u5165 \u50b5\u52d9\u9084\u4e0d\u5b8c\u7684\u6df1\u6df5\uff0c\u76f4\u52302015\u5e74\uff0c\u5e0c\u81d8\u7684\u50b5\u52d9\u554f\u984c\u59cb\u7d42\u6c92\u6709\u5b8c\u5168\u89e3\u6c7a\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u57168\uff1a\u65e5\u672c1950~2030\u50b5\u52d9\u4f54GDP\u6bd4\u4f8b\u8207\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u8d70\u52e2 <\/strong>
\n\"\" <\/strong>
\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90\uff1a\u806f\u5408\u570b\u3001<\/strong>http:\/\/www.tradingeconomics.com<\/strong><\/a><\/p>\n

\u5168\u7403\u50b5\u52d9\u5360GDP\u6bd4\u4f8b\u6700\u9ad8\u7684\u65e5\u672c\u4e5f\u662f\u5982\u6b64\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u52301990\u5e74\u7d50\u675f\uff0c\u5927\u7d041\u5e74\u591a\u7684\u6642\u9593\uff0c1992\u5e74\u5f8c\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u8ca0\u50b5\u6642\u671f\u958b \u59cb\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u570b\u50b5\u7acb\u523b\u5feb\u901f\u6500\u5347\u3002\u5230\u4e862015\u5e74\uff0c\u570b\u50b5\u5360GDP\u5df2\u7d93\u8d85\u904e230%\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u65e5\u672c\u6bcf\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u6e1b\u5c11\u7d0420\u301c30\u842c\u4eba\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u653f\u5e9c\u70ba\u4e86\u62c9\u62ac\u6c11\u9593\u6d88\u8cbb\u548c\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8 \u8139\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u52e2\u5fc5\u9084\u5f97\u64f4\u5927\u8209\u50b5\uff0c\u570b\u50b5\u9084\u6703\u6301\u7e8c\u6500\u5347\u3002<\/p>\n

1945\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6b21\u4e16\u754c\u5927\u6230\u904e\u5f8c\uff0c\u958b\u555f\u4e86\u8fd1\u4ee3\u7684\u5b30\u5152\u6f6e\uff08baby boomer\uff09\uff0c\u7531\u65bc1945~1960\u5e74\u51fa\u751f\u7684\u4e16\u4ee3\uff0c\u662f\u7576\u6642\u4eba\u985e\u51fa\u73fe\u6578\u91cf\u6700\u591a\u6700\u5feb\u7684\u4e16\u4ee3\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u5168\u7403\u5927\u591a\u6578\u5df2\u958b\u767c\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5faa\u74b0\uff0c\u5e7e\u4e4e\u90fd\u662f\u8ddf\u8457\u4ed6\u5011\u904b\u4f5c\u3002 \u7576\u4ed6\u5011\u6210\u5e74\u6642\uff0c\u5df2\u958b\u767c\u570b\u5bb6\u7387\u5148\u9032\u5165\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u570b\u5bb6\u7d93\u6fdf\u5728\u6230\u5f8c\u5feb\u901f\u5fa9\u7526\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u3001\u9999\u6e2f\u3001\u5357\u97d3\u3001\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u5247\u662f\u7dca\u63a5\u5728\u5f8c\uff0c\u9032\u5165\u9577\u905440\u5e74\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u6642\u671f\u3002 1980\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u570b\u5bb6\u5927\u91cf\u570b\u6c11\u6b63\u8655\u65bc\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u5dd4\u5cf0\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u9032\u5165\u9ad8\u901f\u6210\u9577\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u5230\u4e862010\u5e74\u4ee3\u5f8c\uff0c\u5927\u91cf\u570b\u6c11\u6b63\u8981\u9032\u5165\u8001\u5e74\u968e\u6bb5\uff0c\u9ad8\u901f\u6210\u9577\u671f\u9032\u5165\u5c3e\u8072\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4eba\u5011\u958b\u59cb\u56de\u61b6\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u69ae\u666f\uff0c\u6bcf\u7576\u63d0\u5230\u300c\u4e9e\u6d32\u56db\u5c0f\u9f8d\u300d\u6216\u300c90\u5e74\u4ee3\u7d93\u6fdf\u5947\u8e5f\u300d\uff0c\u5f77\u5f7f\u300c\u597d\u6f22\u56de\u9867\u7576\u5e74\u52c7\u300d\u7684\u610f\u5883\uff0c\u4f46\u5f9e\u4eba\u53e3\u8b8a\u5316\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\u4f86\u770b\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5f9e\u4f86\u6c92\u6709\u5947\u8e5f\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u5728\u4eba\u53e3\u8ca0\u50b5\u6642\u671f\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ea\u80fd\u52a0\u500d\u52aa\u529b\u8015\u8018\u3002
\nhttp:\/\/www.naipo.com\/Portals\/1\/web_tw\/Knowledge_Center\/Editorial\/publish-280.htm<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

1950\u52301960\u5e74\u4ee3\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u548c\u5357\u97d3\u53d7\u5230\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u548c […]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7654","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news-opinion"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4VJae-1Zs","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7654","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7654"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7654\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7655,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7654\/revisions\/7655"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7654"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7654"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7654"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}