{"id":3667,"date":"2013-07-09T14:52:00","date_gmt":"2013-07-09T06:52:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ec.moneydj.com\/joe\/?p=3667"},"modified":"2014-07-18T17:23:23","modified_gmt":"2014-07-18T09:23:23","slug":"%e8%bf%91%e6%9c%9f%e5%85%a7%e7%9a%84%e6%ad%90%e8%8b%b1%e7%be%8e%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e8%ab%87%e8%a9%b1","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/2013\/07\/09\/%e8%bf%91%e6%9c%9f%e5%85%a7%e7%9a%84%e6%ad%90%e8%8b%b1%e7%be%8e%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e8%ab%87%e8%a9%b1\/","title":{"rendered":"\u8fd1\u671f\u5167\u7684\u6b50\u82f1\u7f8e\u592e\u884c\u8ac7\u8a71"},"content":{"rendered":"

Joe\u6574\u7406\u4e86\u6700\u8fd1\u4e00\u500b\u6708\u5167\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u3001\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u3001\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u592e\u884c\u6216\u6a5f\u69cb\u5b98\u54e1\u8ac7\u8a71<\/p>\n

<\/span>\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c\u7e3d\u88c1Mario Draghi<\/span>\u7684\u8ac7\u8a71\u76f8\u7576\u59d4\u5a49\u548c\u4fdd\u5b88<\/span>\uff0c<\/span>\u5be6\u969b\u4e0a\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u4e26\u4e0d\u6a02\u89c0\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u592e\u884c\u5b98\u54e1\u6b63\u64d4\u5fc3\u50b5\u52d9\u6b96\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u666f\u6c23\u9084\u6c92\u6062\u5fa9\uff0c\u501f\u8cb8\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u5c0d\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u6c11\u9593\u4f01\u696d\u71df\u904b\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u6709\u5229\u7684\u5c40\u52e2<\/span>\uff0c\u9664\u4e86\u5fb7\u570b\u4ee5\u5916<\/span>\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u5468\u908a\u6703\u54e1\u570b\u65e9\u5df2\u5feb\u6490\u4e0d\u4e0b\u53bb<\/span>\u3002<\/span>

\u76f8\u5c0d\u65bc\u6b50\u5143\u5340<\/span>\uff0c<\/span>\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u4e3b\u5e2dBernanke\u4e3b\u5e2d7\u670810\u65e5\u9031\u4e09\u4e0b\u53484\u9ede10\u5206\uff08EDT\uff09\u5c07\u5728Massachusetts\u5dde\u528d\u6a4b\u5e02\u767c\u8868\u8ac7\u8a71\uff0c\u4e3b\u984c\u5305\u62ec\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u767e\u5e74\u6b77\u53f2\u3001\u5176\u653f\u7b56\u8a18\u9304\u3001\u7d93\u9a57\u6559\u8a13\u4ee5\u53ca\u672a\u4f86\u5c55\u671b\uff0c\u7576\u524d\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u806f\u5132\u4efb\u4f55\u95dc\u65bc\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u65b9\u5411\u7684\u4e00\u8209\u4e00\u52d5\u4fdd\u6301\u9ad8\u5ea6\u8b66\u89ba<\/span>\uff0c\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5b98\u54e1\u76ee\u524d\u4fdd\u6301\u9ad8\u5ea6\u7684\u5718\u7d50\u8ac7\u8a71<\/span>\uff0c\u6b63\u5728\u71df\u9020\u8b93\u5e02\u5834\u5c0dQE\u9000\u51fa\u7684\u7dca\u5f35\u6c23\u6c1b\u9072\u7de9\u4e0b\u4f86<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/span>\u3002<\/p>\n

\u82f1\u570b\u76ee\u524d\u8655\u65bc\u7d93\u6fdf\u9032\u5165\u8870\u9000\u7684\u908a\u7de3<\/span>\uff0c<\/span><\/span>\u4f46\u60c5\u6cc1\u9084\u4e0d\u81f3\u65bc\u50cf\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u90a3\u6a23\u7684\u7121\u89e3<\/span>
\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u622a\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\u70ba\u6b62\u7684\u8ca1\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u6bd4Joe\u9810\u671f\u7684\u4f86\u7684\u6a02\u89c0<\/span>\uff0c\u4f46\u82f1\u570b\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577
\u5df2\u9060\u4e0d\u5982\u4ee5\u5f80<\/span>\uff0c<\/span><\/span>\u9577\u7dda<\/span>\u767c\u5c55\u4e5f\u6703\u6162\u6162\u8d70\u4e0b\u5761<\/span>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

Bernanke\u4e3b\u5e2d\u57286\u670819\u65e5\u8aaa\u5982\u679c\u7d93\u6fdf\u60c5\u6cc1\u5982\u671f\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5b98\u54e1\u5011\u9810\u8a08\u5728\u4eca\u5e74\u665a\u4e9b\u6642\u5019\u958b\u59cb\u7e2e\u6e1b\u76ee\u524d850\u5104\u7684\u6708\u5ea6\u50b5\u5238\u8cfc\u8cb7\u898f\u6a21\uff0cBernanke\u8ac7\u8a71\u4e4b\u5f8c\uff0c\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u5834\u6025\u901f\u4e0b\u8dcc\uff0c\u50b5\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u70ba\u6b64\u4e0a\u5468\u5176\u4ed6\u806f\u5132\u5b98\u54e1\u983b\u983b\u8ac7\u8a71\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u5c0dBernanke\u7684\u8a71\u8a9e\u53ef\u80fd\u53cd\u61c9\u904e\u5ea6\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u60c5\u7dd2\u624d\u6709\u6240\u7de9\u548c\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u51fa\u73fe\u53cd\u5f48\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5f8c\u4f86\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5b98\u54e1\u5148\u5f8c\u51fa\u4f86\u5b89\u64ab\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5b98\u54e1\u8ac7\u8a71\u5f8c\u7684\u80a1\u5e02\u5287\u70c8\u6ce2\u52d5
\"1807130555\"  
\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5b98\u54e1Kocherlakota\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8a8d\u70ba\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u8b8a\u5f97\u66f4\u52a0\u5f37\u786c\u662f“\u932f\u8aa4\u611f\u89ba”\u3002
\u806f\u6e96\u6703<\/span>\u5b98\u54e1<\/span>Fisher\u8b66\u544a\u6295\u6a5f\u8005\uff0c\u4e0d\u8981\u8a66\u5716\u8feb\u4f7fFED\u64f1\u7f6e\u524a\u6e1bQE\u8a08\u756b\u3002
<\/span>\u806f\u6e96\u6703<\/span>\u5b98\u54e1<\/span><\/span>Jeffrey Lacker\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u9084\u6c92\u5230\u524a\u6e1b\u8cc7\u7522\u8ca0\u50b5\u8868\u7684\u6642\u5019\u3002
<\/span>\u806f\u6e96\u6703<\/span>\u5b98\u54e1<\/span><\/span>Jerome Powell\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u6ce2\u52d5\u8d85\u904e\u4e86\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5c0d\u5229\u7387\u7684\u7acb\u5834\u6240\u61c9\u8a72\u986f\u793a\u7684\u8abf\u6574\u5e45\u5ea6\u3002
<\/span>\u806f\u6e96\u6703<\/span>\u5b98\u54e1<\/span><\/span>William Dudley\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u8868\u73fe\u8207\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u8a8d\u70ba\u7684\u4e26\u4e0d\u4e00\u81f4\u3002
<\/span>\u806f\u6e96\u6703<\/span>\u5b98\u54e1<\/span><\/span>Dennis Lockhart\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0dBernanke\u300c\u4eca\u5e74\u7a0d\u665a\u53ef\u80fd\u958b\u59cb\u7e2e\u6e1bQE\u300d\u7684\u9019\u4e00\u8072\u660e\u53cd\u61c9\u904e\u5ea6\u3002
<\/span>\u806f\u6e96\u6703<\/span>\u5b98\u54e1<\/span><\/span>Dudley\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u8a8d\u70ba\u653f\u7b56\u5c07\u5f88\u5feb\u6536\u7e2e\u662f\u932f\u7684\uff0c\u82e5\u5c31\u696d\u4e0d\u6539\u5584\u53ef\u80fd\u589e\u52a0QE
<\/span>\u806f\u6e96\u6703<\/span>\u5b98\u54e1<\/span><\/span>Jeremy Stein\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u8a8d\u70ba\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5728\u6700\u8fd1\u5e7e\u5468\u5df2\u7d93\u5927\u5e45\u4fee\u6539\u5176\u5229\u7387\u8a08\u756b\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u9019\u662f\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u7684\u8aa4\u8b80\u3002
<\/span>\u806f\u6e96\u6703<\/span>\u5b98\u54e1<\/span><\/span>John Williams\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7d55\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u806f\u6e96\u6703\u5b98\u54e1\u4e0d\u5e0c\u671b\u57282015\u5e74\u524d\u52a0\u606f\u3002
<\/span><\/p>\n

\n


\u82f1\u570b7\u6708\u592e\u884c\u5229\u7387\u6c7a\u8b70\u7dad\u63010.50%\uff0c7\u6708\u592e\u884c\u8cc7\u7522\u8cfc\u8cb7\u898f\u6a21\u7dad\u63013750\u5104\u82f1\u938a\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u5fa9\u7526\uff0c\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u53ef\u80fd\u964d\u52302.0%\uff0c\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u9810\u671f\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u5fa9\u7526\u7684\u6a02\u89c0\u5224\u65b7\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u53ef\u80fd\u6253\u58d3\u7d93\u6fdf\u5fa9\u7526<\/p>\n

<\/span><\/p>\n

\n

\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884c(ECB)\u4fdd\u6301\u6307\u6a19\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u8b8a\uff0c\u4e26\u5c07\u8a66\u5716\u5b89\u64ab\u6295\u8cc7\u8005<\/p>\n

\u6b50\u6d32\u592e\u884cMario Draghi\uff1a\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u58d3\u529b\u4e26\u4e0d\u986f\u8457\uff0c\u6b50\u5143\u5340\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u9810\u671f\u56b4\u683c\u76e3\u63a7\uff0c\u8cc7\u6599\u986f\u793a\u7d93\u6fdf\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u5c07\u7dad\u6301\u5bec\u9b06\uff0c\u9810\u671f\u57fa\u6e96\u5229\u7387\u7dad\u6301\u5728\u7576\u524d\u6c34\u6e96\uff0c<\/span>0.5%\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u57fa\u6e96\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u9650\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0b\u8abf\u7684\u57fa\u6e96\u5229\u7387\u4e5f\u5305\u62ec\u5b58\u6b3e\u5229\u7387(Deposit rate)\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5167\u4e0d\u6703\u9000\u51fa\u5bec\u9b06\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u5c0d\u964d\u4f4e\u5b58\u6b3e\u5229\u7387\u6301\u958b\u653e\u614b\u5ea6<\/span><\/span>\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span>\u5e0c\u81d8\u5df2\u7d93\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u660e\u986f\u7684\u9032\u5c55\uff0c\u6b50\u592e\u884c\u5c07\u5728\u6b0a\u529b\u7bc4\u570d\u5167\u505a\u76f8\u61c9\u6c7a\u5b9a\uff0c\u800c\u8461\u8404\u7259\u53d6\u5f97\u4e86\u975e\u5e38\u5f15\u4eba\u6ce8\u76ee\u7684\u6210\u679c\u3002
<\/span>
\u55ae\u4e00\u76e3\u7ba1\u6a5f\u5236(SSM)\u548c\u55ae\u4e00\u7d50\u7b97\u6a5f\u5236(SRM)\u662f\u6574\u5408\u9280\u884c\u9ad4\u7cfb\u7684\u95dc\u9375\u6b65\u9a5f\uff0c\u59d4\u54e1\u6703\u63a1\u53d6\u4e86\u524d\u6240\u672a\u6709\u7684\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u4f86\u7d66\u4e88\u524d\u77bb\u6027\u6307\u5c0e\uff0cOMT\u8cfc\u50b5\u8a08\u756b\u96a8\u6642\u53ef\u4ee5\u555f\u52d5\uff0c<\/span>OMT\u8cfc\u50b5\u8a08\u756b\u88ab\u555f\u52d5\u6642\uff0c\u76f8\u95dc\u6cd5\u5f8b\u554f\u984c\u5df2\u7d93\u89e3\u6c7a<\/span>\uff0cOMT\u8cfc\u50b5\u8a08\u756b\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u653f\u5e9c\u884c\u52d5\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u54c1<\/span>\u3002<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n

<\/span>\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u61c9\u8a72\u652f\u6301\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u8cc7\u7522\u8ca0\u50b5\u8868\u8abf\u6574\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u69cb\u6210\u4e0b\u884c\u58d3\u529b\uff0c\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u6539\u9769\u9072\u7de9\uff0c\u8b93\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u9762\u81e8\u4e0b\u884c\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u6d3b\u52d5\u75b2\u8edf\u8b93\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u9762\u81e8\u4e0b\u884c\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u4fe1\u8cb8\u75b2\u8edf\u4e3b\u8981\u53cd\u61c9\u5546\u696d\u9031\u671f\u6539\u8b8a\u3002
<\/span>
\u6c92\u6709\u5c07\u532f\u7387\u4f5c\u70ba\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u76ee\u6a19\uff0c\u532f\u7387\u6c34\u6e96\u5c0d\u65bc\u7dad\u6301\u7269\u50f9\u7a69\u5b9a\u548c\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u662f\u91cd\u8981\u7684\uff0c\u59d4\u54e1\u5011\u540c\u610f\u66f4\u4f4e\u7684\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u6e96\u53ef\u80fd\u5a01\u8105\u91d1\u878d\u7a69\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u7576\u524d\u968e\u6bb5\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u770b\u5230\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u6c34\u6e96\u53ef\u80fd\u5e36\u4f86\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8ca1\u653f\u6574\u5408\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u907f\u514d\u7684\uff0c\u65b0\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u52d5\u76ea\u53ef\u80fd\u5c0e\u81f4\u5e02\u5834\u5229\u7387\u5168\u9762\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u8ca1\u653f\u6574\u5408\u63aa\u65bd\u61c9\u8a72\u6709\u5229\u65bc\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u9000\u8b93\u91d1\u878d\u7cfb\u7d71\u9762\u81e8\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u897f\u73ed\u7259\u5728\u524a\u6e1b\u79c1\u4eba\u90e8\u9580\u50b5\u52d9\u65b9\u9762\u5df2\u7d93\u53d6\u5f97\u5de8\u5927\u6210\u679c\uff0c\u8a31\u591a\u767c\u9054\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u6703\u5c0e\u81f4\u8f03\u5f31\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e0d\u7a69\u5b9a\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u7cfb\u7d71\u6027\u98a8\u96aa\u662f\u7d93\u6fdf\u6301\u7e8c\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u5bec\u9b06\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u5c07\u57282013\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u548c2014\u5e74\u63a8\u52d5\u7d93\u6fdf\u5fa9\u7526\uff0c\u66f4\u5bec\u9b06\u7684\u5e02\u5834\u74b0\u5883\u4e5f\u6709\u52a9\u65bc\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5fa9\u7526\u53ef\u80fd\u7dad\u6301\u75b2\u8edf\uff0c\u7de9\u6162\u6216\u4e0d\u5145\u5206\u7684\u6539\u9769\u5c07\u62d6\u7d2f\u7d93\u6fdf\u589e\u9577\u3002<\/p>\n

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