{"id":3150,"date":"2011-08-30T02:28:00","date_gmt":"2011-08-29T18:28:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ec.moneydj.com\/joe\/?p=3150"},"modified":"2020-08-17T13:33:55","modified_gmt":"2020-08-17T05:33:55","slug":"%e5%be%9e%e4%ba%ba%e5%8f%a3%e7%b5%90%e6%a7%8b%e7%9c%8b%e5%8f%b0%e7%81%a3%e6%88%bf%e5%9c%b0%e7%94%a2%e8%88%88%e8%a1%b0","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/2011\/08\/30\/%e5%be%9e%e4%ba%ba%e5%8f%a3%e7%b5%90%e6%a7%8b%e7%9c%8b%e5%8f%b0%e7%81%a3%e6%88%bf%e5%9c%b0%e7%94%a2%e8%88%88%e8%a1%b0\/","title":{"rendered":"\u5f9e\u4eba\u53e3\u7d50\u69cb\u770b\u53f0\u7063\u623f\u5730\u7522\u8208\u8870"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!-- Origin Article URL: http:\/\/www.wretch.cc\/blog\/joejoejoe\/16337579 --><\/p>\n<p><!-- RTE=old --><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u9019\u4e0d\u662f\u5371\u8a00\u8073\u807d<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u6771\u4e9e\u6b21\u7d1a\u623f\u8cb8\u7684\u5f62\u6210<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u624d\u6b63\u8981\u958b\u59cb<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium\"><br \/>\n\u5728\u6587\u7ae0\u958b\u59cb\u4e4b\u524d<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u5148\u4f86\u770b\u4e00\u4e9b\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5d29\u76e4\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u6700\u8457\u540d\u7684\u662f\u65e5\u672c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u57281986~1991\u5e74\u623f\u50f9\u98c6\u5347\u901f\u5ea6\u98db\u5feb\uff0c\u51fa\u751f\u7387\u5feb\u901f\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u7576\u6642\u65e5\u672c\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u57281993~1995\u5e74\u9054\u5230\u6700\u985b\u5cf0<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u4e4b\u5f8c\u958b\u59cb\u4e0b\u964d<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u623f\u5730\u7522\u7684\u5d29\u76e4\u8981\u914d\u5408\u5169\u500b\u4e3b\u8981\u56e0\u7d20<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c<span style=\"color: #ff0000\">\u7b2c\u4e00\u9ede<\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #ff0000;font-size: medium\">\uff0c<\/span><span style=\"color: #ff0000;font-size: medium\">\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u4e0a\u5347\u672b\u671f<\/span><span style=\"color: #ff0000;font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u9ede<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">\uff0c\u5347\u606f\u5faa\u74b0\u672b\u5347\u6bb5<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u7576\u6642\u7684\u6545\u4e8b\u80cc\u666f\u662f\u9019\u6a23\u7684<span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">\uff0c1985<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">\u5e74<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">9<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">\u6708\u7684\u65e5\u672c\uff0c\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u3001\u6cd5\u570b\u3001\u5fb7\u570b\u3001\u82f1\u570b\u7b49\u570b\u8ca1\u653f\u9996\u9577\u7c3d\u8a02\u300c\u5ee3\u5834\u5354\u8b70\u300d\uff0c\u4e94\u570b\u8ca1\u9577\u540c\u610f\u8b93\u7f8e\u5143\u8cb6\u503c\uff1b\u7f8e\u5143\u8cb6\u503c\u5f8c\uff0c\u7531\u65bc\u7576\u6642\u5fb7\u570b\u653f\u5e9c\u5168\u9762\u9632\u5835\u71b1\u9322\u6d41\u5165\u623f\u5730\u7522\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u570b\u969b\u8cc7\u672c\u9078\u64c7\u9032\u5165\u7576\u6642\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5f37\u52e2\u7684\u65e5\u672c\u570b\u5167\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u53c8\u6d41\u9032\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u4e0d\u52d5\u7522\uff0c\u5927\u91cf\u71b1\u9322\u7092\u4f5c\u8feb\u4f7f\u65e5\u672c\u623f\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u65e5\u5e63\u5927\u5e45\u5347\u503c\uff0c\u800c\u7576\u6642\u65e5\u672c\u653f\u5e9c\u70ba\u4e86\u523a\u6fc0\u7d93\u6fdf\uff0c\u65bd\u884c\u76f8\u5c0d\u5bec\u9b06\u7684\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u9f13\u52f5\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u5165\u623f\u5730\u7522\u4ee5\u53ca\u80a1\u7968\u5e02\u5834\uff08\u8207\u904e\u53bb\u56db\u5e74\u7684\u99ac\u653f\u5e9c\u76f8\u540c\uff09\uff0c\u98c6\u6f32\u7684\u623f\u5730\u7522\uff0c\u5f15\u8a98\u8a31\u591a\u65e5\u672c\u4eba\u7d1b\u7d1b\u62ff\u51fa\u7562\u751f\u7a4d\u84c4\u6295\u8cc7\u4e0d\u52d5\u7522\uff08\u8207\u53f0\u7063\u6709\u7a4d\u84c4\u7684\u516c\u6559\u3001\u83dc\u7c43\u65cf\u7d1b\u7d1b\u6436\u7576\u6295\u8cc7\u5ba2\u76f8\u540c\uff09\uff0c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">1990<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">\u5e74<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">3<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">\u6708\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u516d\u5927\u57ce\u5e02<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">(<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">\u6771\u4eac\u3001\u540d\u53e4\u5c4b\u3001\u5927\u962a\u3001\u795e\u6237\u3001\u6a6b\u6ff1\u3001\u4eac\u90fd<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">) <\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">\u623f\u5730\u7522\u50f9\u683c\u9054\u5230\u4e0d\u53ef\u601d\u8b70\u7684\u50f9\u683c\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u7a7a\u524d\u7684\u7522\u696d\u69ae\u666f\uff0c\u8ac7\u623f\u5730\u7522\u6ce1\u6cab\u53ea\u6703\u88ab\u7b11\u8a71\u3002<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium\"><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p><!-- [if gte mso 9]&gt;-->\u7576\u6642\u65e5\u672c\u5168\u570b\u571f\u5730\u9762\u7a4d\u53ea\u6709\u7f8e\u570b\u9762\u7a4d\u7d04<span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">4<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">%<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">\uff0c\u5927\u7d04\u7b49\u65bc\u7f8e\u570b\u52a0\u5dde<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">(California)<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">\u9762\u7a4d\u5927\u5c0f\uff0c\u4f46\u6574\u500b\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5e02\u503c\u7e3d\u984d\u537b\u76f8\u7576\u65bc\u7576\u6642\u6574\u500b\u7f8e\u570b\u623f\u50f9\u7684\u56db\u500d\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u5168\u570b\u7684\u623f\u5730\u7522\u7e3d\u50f9\u4e5f\u4e0d\u904e\u7b49\u65bc\u6771\u4eac\u7684\u623f\u5730\u7522\u50f9\u503c\uff0c\u666e\u901a\u52de\u5de5\u968e\u5c64\u5373\u4f7f\u82b1\u8cbb\u7562\u751f\u7a4d\u84c4\u4e5f\u6c92\u8fa6\u6cd5\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u4e3b\u8981\u57ce\u5e02\u8cb7\u4e0b\u4e00\u5957\u4f4f\u5b85\u3002\u8207\u53f0\u7063\u5f88\u985e\u4f3c\u7684\uff0c\u7576\u6642\u591a\u6578\u65e5\u672c\u4eba\u300c\u76f8\u4fe1\u4e0d\u52d5\u7522\u50f9\u683c\u53ea\u5347\u4e0d\u964d\u300d\u7684\u795e\u8a71\uff0c\u722d\u76f8\u8cfc\u8cb7\u623f\u5730\u7522\u3002\u4f46\u5f88\u53ef\u60dc\uff0c\u6ce1\u6cab\u7e3d\u6709\u7834\u6ec5\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u5f9e\u7121\u5546\u54c1\u4f8b\u5916\u3002<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">1990<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">\u5e74\u79cb\u5b63\uff0c\u6771\u4eac\u623f\u5730\u7522\u4ea4\u6613\u91cf\u7a81\u7136\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u6ed1\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u50f9\u683c\u5f9e\u6771\u4eac\u70ba\u4e2d\u5fc3\u958b\u59cb\u5d29\u76e4\uff0c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">1991<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">\u5e74\uff0c\u516d\u5927\u90fd\u5e02\u623f\u5730\u7522\u50f9\u683c\u5e73\u5747\u4e0b\u8dcc<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">20%<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">\uff0c\u96a8\u8457\u570b\u969b\u8cc7\u672c\u7372\u5229\u4e86\u7d50\u5f8c\u64a4\u9000\uff0c\u7531\u5916\u4f86\u8cc7\u7522\u8207\u672c\u571f\u8cc7\u91d1\u4e00\u8d77\u72c2\u7092\u7684\u65e5\u672c\u623f\u5730\u7522\u6ce1\u6cab\u8fc5\u901f\u7834\u6ec5\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u4eba\u4e00\u8f29\u5b50\u6c92\u770b\u904e\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5d29\u76e4\u7684\u73fe\u8c61\uff0c\u76f4\u5230<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">2000<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">\u5e74\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u5546\u696d\u4e0d\u52d5\u7522\u5e73\u5747\u50f9\u683c\u8dcc\u5e45\u9054\u5230<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\" style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">70%<\/span><span style=\"font-size: 12.0pt;color: #444444\">\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u7576\u6642\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u65e5\u672c\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u5f9e\u6c92\u60f3\u904e\u8cb8\u6b3e\u7684\u9084\u50b5\u80fd\u529b\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u8cb8\u6b3e\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u4e5f\u5fd8\u8a18\u4e86\u5347\u606f\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u548c<span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u5229\u7387\u672b\u5347\u6bb5\u7684\u4e0a\u5347\u901f\u5ea6<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u9280\u884c\u6301\u7e8c\u7d66\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5efa\u8a2d\u516c\u53f8\u6e90\u6e90\u4e0d\u7d55\u7684\u878d\u8cc7\u73fe\u91d1\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u8a8d\u70ba\u5982\u679c\u9019\u4e9b\u4f01\u696d\u51fa\u73fe\u8cc7\u91d1\u7dca\u7e2e\u6642<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u53ea\u9700\u5c07\u624b\u88e1\u7684\u4e0d\u52d5\u7522\u8ce3\u6389\u5c31\u53ef\u4ee5\u89e3\u6c7a\u554f\u984c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u7576\u6642\u7684\u65e5\u672c\uff0c\u4f01\u696d\u501f\u9280\u884c\u7684\u9322\u3001\u6216\u8005\u9280\u884c\u8cb8\u6b3e\u7d66\u4f01\u696d\u662f\u76f8\u7576\u5bb9\u6613\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u800c\u5efa\u5546\u4f01\u696d\u5f97\u5230\u4e00\u822c\u8cb8\u6b3e\u8cfc\u7f6e\u623f\u5730\u7522\u4e4b\u5f8c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u623f\u5730\u7522\u6709\u7121\u8ce3\u51fa<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u53c8\u5c07\u8a72\u8cc7\u7522\u5411\u9280\u884c\u4f5c\u62b5\u62bc\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u53c8\u518d\u6b21\u8cb8\u6b3e\uff0c\u6574\u500b\u9280\u884c\u7684\u623f\u5730\u7522\u62b5\u62bc\u8cb8\u6b3e\u5c31\u9019\u6a23\u50cf\u6efe\u96ea\u7403\u4e00\u6a23\u8fc5\u901f\u64f4\u5927\u3002<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u65e5\u5e63\u5229\u7387\u8d70\u52e2\u5716<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/pic.pimg.tw\/joejoeyourmoney\/1370353823-513761528.png?v=1370353824\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u65e5\u672c\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7684\u8d70\u52e2\u5716<\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/pic.pimg.tw\/joejoeyourmoney\/1370353827-1888478827.png?v=1370353828\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90<a href=\"http:\/\/www.tradingeconomics.com\/japan\/interest-rate\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Trading-economics<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u5347\u606f\u4e26\u4e0d\u6703\u8b93\u623f\u5730\u7522\u7acb\u523b\u5d29\u76e4\uff0c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u623f\u5730\u7522\u7684\u7092\u4f5c\u8cc7\u91d1\u9f90\u5927<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u90fd\u9700\u8981\u5916\u570b\u8cc7\u91d1\u5927\u91cf\u6e67\u5165<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u900f\u904e\u69d3\u687f\u64cd\u4f5c\u653e\u5927\u7372\u5229<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u8cc7\u91d1\u4f55\u6642\u9000\u51fa\u5e02\u5834<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u95dc\u9375\u5728\u65bc\u8a72\u570b\u8ca8\u5e63\u5347\u606f\u7684\u901f\u5ea6<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u8d8a\u9ad8<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u7092\u4f5c\u6210\u672c\u8d8a\u9ad8<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u5229\u7387\u4f4e\u65bc\u7576\u6642\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7387\u6642<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u5be6\u8cea\u7269\u54c1\u7684\u81a8\u8139\u901f\u5ea6\u4f9d\u7136\u662f\u6bd4\u8f03\u6709\u5229\u7684<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u9019\u6642\u5916\u8cc7\u4e26\u4e0d\u6703\u64a4\u9000<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u7576\u5229\u7387\u7b49\u65bc\u8a72\u570b\u5bb6\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7387\u6642<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u5916\u8cc7\u64a4\u9000\u7684\u901f\u5ea6\u5c31\u6703\u975e\u5e38\u660e\u986f<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u6295\u6a5f\u7684\u5229\u6f64\u5c07\u88ab\u8cb8\u6b3e\u6210\u672c\u6240\u5403\u6389<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u64a4\u9000<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/pic.pimg.tw\/joejoeyourmoney\/1370353837-3932849035.jpg?v=1370353839\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90<a href=\"http:\/\/data.un.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u806f\u5408\u570b\u6578\u64da\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab<\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u623f\u5730\u7522\u7684\u8870\u9000\u7a0b\u5ea6\u6c7a\u5b9a\u6b0a\u5728\u65bc\u8a72\u570b\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u7684\u5206\u5e03\u60c5\u6cc1<span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u7576\u570b\u5bb6\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u6e90\u6e90\u4e0d\u7d55\u6642<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u5916\u8cc7\u6703\u9078\u64c7\u9032\u570b\u5167\u6295\u8cc7<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u666f\u6c23\u4e00\u7247\u69ae\u666f<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u53cd\u4e4b<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u7576\u8a72\u570b\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u9054\u5230\u985b\u5cf0\u7684\u524d\u5915<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u5916\u8cc7\u5c31\u6703\u5c07\u8cc7\u91d1\u8f49\u5f80\u4e0b\u500b\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u6b63\u5728\u4e0a\u6f32\u7684\u5730\u5340<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u8a72\u570b\u7f3a\u5c11\u4e86\u5916\u570b\u8cc7\u7522\u7684\u6295\u8cc7<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u8cc7\u91d1\u88ab\u91dc\u5e95\u62bd\u85aa<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u4e0d\u7ba1\u5be6\u65bd\u4efb\u4f55\u653f\u7b56<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u623f\u5730\u7522\u90fd\u7121\u6cd5\u518d\u6062\u5fa9<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u540c\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u5716\u4e2d\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u52de\u52d5\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0a\u6f32\u662f\u5206\u6210\u5169\u6bb5\u7684<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u4e00\u6bb5\u662f1970\u5e74<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u6bb5\u662f1993\u5e74<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u9ad4\u898f\u6a21\u5728\u5168\u7403\u524d40\u7684\u570b\u5bb6<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u4e0a\u6f32\u662f\u623f\u5730\u7522\u4e0a\u6f32\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u689d\u4ef6<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u8cc7\u91d1\u6d41\u662f\u5c0e\u706b\u7dda<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c1973\u5e74\u65e5\u672c\u623f\u5730\u7522\u8870\u9000\u4e0d\u81f4\u65bc\u592a\u56b4\u91cd\u662f\u56e0\u70ba\u65e5\u672c\u9084\u6709\u7b2c\u4e8c\u6ce2\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u4e0a\u6f32\u671f<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u7b2c\u4e8c\u9ede\u5247\u662f\u7576\u6642\u5168\u7403\u8cc7\u91d1\u9084\u672a\u5927\u91cf\u6d41\u5165\u65e5\u672c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u623f\u5730\u7522\u9084\u4e0d\u81f3\u65bc\u51fa\u73fe\u5287\u70c8\u6027\u7684\u81a8\u8139<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u4f461991\u5e74\u65e5\u672c\u5373\u5c07\u5931\u53bb\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u7684\u512a\u52e2<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u5229\u7387\u8abf\u5347\u81f3\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u6c34\u6e96\u4e4b\u4e0a\u6642<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u9019\u4e9b\u8cc7\u91d1\u4fbf\u5927\u8209\u64a4\u96e2\u623f\u5730\u7522<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u8f49\u800c\u9032\u5165\u5176\u4ed6\u6295\u8cc7\u9805\u76ee<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/pic.pimg.tw\/joejoeyourmoney\/1370353843-4034755483.jpg?v=1370353844\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90<a href=\"http:\/\/www.esri.cao.go.jp\/jp\/stat\/menu.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u65e5\u672c\u5167\u95a3\u5e9c<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u3001\u65e5\u672c\u7d71\u8a08\u5c40<\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u623f\u5730\u7522\u4e0d\u50c5\u9084\u672a\u6b62\u8dcc<span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u9084\u6709\u8d70\u8dcc\u7a7a\u9593<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c2050\u5e74\u4ee5\u524d<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u623f\u5730\u7522\u4f9d\u7136\u90fd\u9084\u6703\u662f\u9577\u7dda\u8d70\u8dcc\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u5c45\u9ad8<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u63a5\u8457\u4f86\u770b\u7f8e\u570b\u623f\u5730\u7522<span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u4e0b\u5716\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u623f\u5730\u7522\u50f9\u503c<\/span>\u8d70\u52e2\u8b8a\u5316<\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium\"> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/pic.pimg.tw\/joejoeyourmoney\/1370353846-360911857.png?v=1370353848\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90<a href=\"http:\/\/research.stlouisfed.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">FRED\u8cc7\u6599\u5eab<\/a><br \/>\n\u7f8e\u570b\u4eba\u53e3\u7d50\u69cb<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/pic.pimg.tw\/joejoeyourmoney\/1370353860-2379967930.jpg?v=1370353861\" alt=\"\" \/><\/span><br \/>\n<\/span> <span style=\"font-size: medium\"> \u7da0\u8272\u7bad\u982d\u8655\u662f\u524d\u4e00\u6ce2\u7f8e\u570b\u623f\u5730\u7522\u505c\u6eef\u7684\u6642\u671f<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u5c0d\u7167\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u7d50\u69cb<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">1988~1993\u525b\u597d\u662f\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u7de9\u548c\u8d70\u5f31\u7684\u6642\u671f<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u5f8c\u4f86\u5230\u4e86Bush\u6642\u4ee3<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u900f\u904e\u5411\u5168\u7403\u5927\u8209\u50b5\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u642d\u4e0a<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u7d50\u69cb\u8f49\u597d\u7684\u9806\u98a8\u8eca<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u623f\u5730\u7522\u4e00\u8209\u5927\u5e45\u4e0a\u6f32<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u5230\u4e862008\u5e74\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u9ad8\u9ede\u4e00\u5230\uff0c\u9f90\u5927\u7684\u8cb8\u6b3e\u58d3\u529b\u5728\u7dad\u6301\u4e00\u5e74\u7684\u76f8\u5c0d\u9ad8\u5229\u7387\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u5229\u7a7a<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u5f15\u7206<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u6b21\u7d1a\u623f\u8cb8<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u623f\u5730\u7522\u7d42\u65bc\u5d29\u6f70<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u570b\u5229\u7387\u8d70\u52e2<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/pic.pimg.tw\/joejoeyourmoney\/1370353864-3287167027.png\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u89c0\u5bdf\u7f8e\u570b1950\u5e74\u5f8c3\u6ce2\u623f\u5730\u7522\u7684\u5347\u503c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u5e7e\u4e4e\u90fd\u662f\u642d\u4e0a\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u7684\u9806\u98a8\u8eca<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u7576\u6642\u5e02\u5834\u5145\u8db3\u8cc7\u91d1\u7684\u9ede\u706b<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u624d\u80fd\u8b93\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5927\u5e45\u6500\u5347<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c2008\u5e74\u4ee5\u5f8c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u7f8e\u570b\u623f\u5730\u7522\u66b4\u8dcc\u672a\u5617\u4e0d\u662f\u597d\u4e8b<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u8fd1\u5e7e\u5e74\u5167\u7f8e\u570b\u623f\u5730\u7522\u53ef\u4ee5\u51fa\u73fe\u5c0f\u898f\u6a21\u53cd\u5f48<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u4f46\u8d85\u904e\u524d\u6ce2\u9ad8\u9ede\u66ab\u6642\u662f\u6c92\u8fa6\u6cd5\u4e86<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u53ea\u80fd\u7576\u4f5c\u8dcc\u6df1\u53cd\u5f48<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u7f8e\u570b\u6b77\u53f2\u623f\u50f9\u8b8a\u5316<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium\"> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/pic.pimg.tw\/joejoeyourmoney\/1370353867-3418529378.jpg\" alt=\"\" \/><\/span><\/p>\n<p>\u63a5\u8457\u56de\u5230\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u8b70\u984c\u4e0a<br \/>\n\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u52de\u52d5\u4eba\u53e3\u6bd4\u4f8b\u57282011~2014\u662f\u985b\u5cf0\uff0c\u9019\u56db\u5e74\u5167\u52de\u52d5\u4eba\u53e3\u4f54\u5168\u570b\u7e3d\u4eba\u53e3\u7d04\u7a69\u5b9a\u505c\u572874.4%\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c2015\u5e74\u958b\u59cb\u5feb\u901f\u4e0b\u964d<br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/pic.pimg.tw\/joejoeyourmoney\/1370353071-597948484.jpg?v=1370353073\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n(\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90:\u53f0\u7063\u4e3b\u8a08\u8655)<br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/pic.pimg.tw\/joejoeyourmoney\/1370353880-285807325.jpg?v=1370353881\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\">(\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90:CEPD)<br \/>\n<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><br \/>\n\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u7d50\u69cb\u6b63\u5728\u5feb\u901f\u9032\u884c\u8f49\u8b8a\uff0c\u65b0\u751f\u5152\u51fa\u751f\u6578\u91cf\u5feb\u901f\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c2023\u5e74\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u5c31\u7b97\u52a0\u5165\u5916\u4f86\u79fb\u6c11\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u7e3d\u4eba\u53e3\u6578\u4f9d\u7136\u6703\u958b\u59cb\u6e1b\u5c11\uff0c\u570b\u5bb6\u52de\u52d5\u529b\u8870\u9000\u901f\u5ea6\uff0c\u5e7e\u4e4e\u662f\u5168\u7403\u6700\u5feb\uff0c\u4ee5\u65e5\u672c\u70ba\u57fa\u790e\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u8870\u9000\u901f\u5ea6\u5c07\u66f4\u751a\u65bc\u65e5\u672c<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u4eba\u53e3\u958b\u59cb\u5feb\u901f\u4e0b\u964d<\/span><\/span><br \/>\n<span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\"> <img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/pic.pimg.tw\/joejoeyourmoney\/1370353883-582293750.png?v=1370353884\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/pic.pimg.tw\/joejoeyourmoney\/1370353886-1157815649.png?v=1370353887\" alt=\"\" \/><br \/>\n\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90<br \/>\n<a href=\"http:\/\/www.cepd.gov.tw\/m1.aspx?sNo=0000455\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">\u884c\u653f\u9662\u7d93\u6fdf\u5efa\u8a2d\u59d4\u54e1\u6703<\/a><\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u5e73\u5747\u8a08\u7b97\u623f\u5730\u7522\u7684\u666f\u6c23\u662f18\u5e74\u4e00\u500b\u5faa\u74b0<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u8003\u616e\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7684\u56e0\u7d20<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u4e0a\u4e00\u6ce2\u7684\u4e0d\u52d5\u7522\u666f\u6c23\u5faa\u74b0\u57281993~1995\u9054\u5230\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u6ce2\u6bb5\u9ad8\u9ede<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u4f46\u56de\u5f31\u7684\u5e45\u5ea6\u5176\u5be6\u4e0d\u660e\u986f<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u4e00\u76f4\u90fd\u662f\u6301\u7e8c\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u96d6\u7136\u53f0\u7063\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u8981\u7b49\u52302014\u5e74\u624d\u5230\u9054\u6700\u9ad8\u9ede<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u4f46\u8655\u65bc2011\u5e74\u7684\u53f0\u7063<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c<\/span>\u9019\u6ce2\u623f\u5730\u7522\u6700\u591a\u57283\u5e74\u7684\u5149\u666f<\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u53ea\u8981\u90193\u5e74\u4e4b\u5167<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u53f0\u5e63\u5229\u7387\u9ad8\u65bc\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7387<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u623f\u5730\u7522\u5c31\u80fd\u5168\u9762\u5f15\u767c\u5d29\u76e4<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u9019\u5728\u53f0\u7063\u904e\u53bb\u7684\u767c\u5c55\u5b8c\u5168\u6c92\u6709\u7d93\u6b77\u904e<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u53f0\u7063\u5df2\u7d93\u8d70\u4e8650\u5e74\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c50\u5e74\u524d\u53f0\u7063\u623f\u5730\u7522\u9084\u6c92\u6709\u660e\u986f\u7684\u8cc7\u672c\u4e3b\u7fa9\u64cd\u4f5c<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u9019\u662f\u53f0\u7063\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u9762\u81e8\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u4e0b\u964d\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u672c\u571f\u53f0\u7063\u4eba\u9664\u4e86\u6709\u5df2\u958b\u767c\u570b\u5bb6<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u7684\u7d93\u9a57\u5916<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u4e0d\u53ef\u80fd\u9762\u81e8\u904e\u9019\u7a2e\u60c5\u6cc1<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">\u53ea\u62ff\u5229\u7387\u7684\u6b77\u53f2\u4f86\u5c0d\u7167\u623f\u50f9\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u7406\u60f3\u7684\u6bd4\u5c0d\u6a21\u578b<\/span><\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #ff0000;font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c<\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #ff0000;font-size: medium\">\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u624d\u662f\u771f\u6b63\u5438\u5f15\u570b\u969b\u8cc7\u91d1\u4f86\u53f0\u6295\u8cc7\u7092\u4f5c\u7684\u4e3b\u529b<\/span><span style=\"color: #ff0000;font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229<\/span><\/span><span style=\"color: #ff0000;font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u7684\u63a9\u8b77\uff0c<\/span>\u4e0d\u7ba1\u5229\u7387\u9ad8\u4f4e<\/span><span style=\"color: #ff0000;font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u90fd\u96e3\u4ee5\u5438\u5f15\u570b\u969b\u8cc7\u91d1<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"color: #ff0000\">\u9032\u4f86\u6295\u8cc7<\/span>\uff0c\u623f\u5730\u7522\u50f9\u503c\u90fd\u53ea\u6703\u5728\u4f4e\u6a94\u76e4\u65cb<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u5728\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u7a7a\u982d\u5373\u5c07\u4f86\u81e8\u7684\u53f0\u7063<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u623f\u5730\u7522\u7a7a\u982d\u5c07\u81f3\u5c11\u662f25\u5e74\u7684\u6de1\u5b63<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\uff0c<\/span><\/span><span style=\"font-size: medium\"><span style=\"font-size: medium\">\u9019\u9084\u662f\u5efa\u7acb\u572810\u5e74\u5167\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u7acb\u523b\u6539\u5584\u4eba\u53e3\u7d50\u69cb\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b<br \/>\n<\/span><\/span><\/p>\n<p>2012~2014\u5e74\u662f\u53f0\u7063\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u7684\u6301\u5e73\u5dd4\u5cf0\uff0c\u6ce8\u610f\u89c0\u5bdf\u5229\u7387\u548c\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u7387\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u9019\u6ce2\u623f\u5730\u7522\u7a7a\u982d\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\u5df2\u7d93\u5931\u53bb\u4eba\u53e3\u7d05\u5229\u7684\u512a\u52e2\u4e86\uff0c\u672a\u4f86\u53ea\u8981\u4e00\u6709\u98a8\u5439\u8349\u52d5\uff0c\u5916\u8cc7\u64a4\u9000\u7684\u6bd4\u4efb\u4f55\u4eba\u90fd\u5feb\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8cfc\u8cb7\u4e0d\u52d5\u7522\u8981\u8cb7\u5728\u964d\u606f\u5faa\u74b0\u7684\u672b\u7aef(\u52de\u52d5\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0a\u5347\u521d\u671f)\uff0c\u8ce3\u623f\u5730\u7522\u8981\u8ce3\u5728\u5347\u606f\u5faa\u74b0\u7684\u672b\u5347\u6bb5(\u52de\u52d5\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0a\u5347\u672b\u671f)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>\u9019\u4e0d\u662f\u5371\u8a00\u8073\u807d\uff0c\u6771\u4e9e\u6b21\u7d1a\u623f\u8cb8\u7684\u5f62\u6210\uff0c\u624d\u6b63\u8981\u958b\u59cb \u5728 <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/2011\/08\/30\/%e5%be%9e%e4%ba%ba%e5%8f%a3%e7%b5%90%e6%a7%8b%e7%9c%8b%e5%8f%b0%e7%81%a3%e6%88%bf%e5%9c%b0%e7%94%a2%e8%88%88%e8%a1%b0\/\" title=\"\u5f9e\u4eba\u53e3\u7d50\u69cb\u770b\u53f0\u7063\u623f\u5730\u7522\u8208\u8870\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3150","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-news-opinion"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4VJae-OO","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3150","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3150"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3150\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12446,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3150\/revisions\/12446"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3150"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3150"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3150"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}