{"id":2953,"date":"2010-05-31T09:06:00","date_gmt":"2010-05-31T01:06:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ec.moneydj.com\/joe\/?p=2953"},"modified":"2014-07-18T17:28:05","modified_gmt":"2014-07-18T09:28:05","slug":"the-signal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/2010\/05\/31\/the-signal\/","title":{"rendered":"The signal"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!-- Origin Article URL: http:\/\/www.wretch.cc\/blog\/joejoejoe\/16237156 --><br \/>\n<font size=\"3\">\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u76ee\u524d\u6240\u5728\u89c0\u5bdf\u7684\u8a0a\u865f , WTI\u539f\u6cb9(\u9ed1\u7dda)\u548cBrent\u539f\u6cb9(\u7d05\u7dda)\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u5dee\u7570\u72c0\u614b<br \/>\n\u76ee\u524d\u5df2\u7d93\u53ef\u4ee5\u770b\u5230\u9ed1\u7dda\u5728\u540c\u6b65\u7684\u50f9\u683c\u88e1,\u958b\u59cb\u8d85\u8d8a\u7d05\u7dda\u4e86<\/font><br \/>\n<font size=\"3\">\u5e7e\u500b\u6708\u4e4b\u524d , \u6211\u66fe\u7d93\u767c\u8868\u904e\u3127\u7bc7CAD\u8207\u539f\u6cb9\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u6587\u7ae0<\/font><\/p>\n<table cellspacing=\"1\" cellpadding=\"1\" width=\"200\" border=\"1\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"5\">Oil<\/font>\n<\/td>\n<td><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"http:\/\/pic.pimg.tw\/joejoeyourmoney\/1370357388-2232261032.png?v=1370357389\" \/><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>\n<!--[if gte mso 9]&gt;--><br \/>\nNormal<br \/>\n002<br \/>\nfalse<br \/>\nfalse<br \/>\nfalse<br \/>\nMicrosoftInternetExplorer4<br \/>\n&#8211;&gt;<!--[if gte mso 9]&gt;--><br \/>\n&#8211;&gt;<!--[if gte mso 10]&gt;--><\/p>\n<p>table.MsoNormalTable<br \/>\n{<br \/>\nfont-size:10.0pt;<br \/>\nfont-family:&#8221;Times New Roman&#8221;;<br \/>\n}<br \/>\n&#8211;&gt;<span><br \/>\n\u5168\u7403\u4e3b\u8981\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u6709\u5169<\/span><span>\u7a2e\uff0c\u300c<span lang=\"EN-US\">Brent<\/span><\/span><span>\u539f\u6cb9\uff08\u5e03\u862d\u7279\uff09<\/span><span>\u300d\u548c\u300c<span lang=\"EN-US\">WTI<\/span>\u539f\u6cb9\uff08\u897f\u5fb7\uff09\u300d\uff0c<span lang=\"EN-US\">Brent<\/span><\/span><span>\u539f\u6cb9\u662f\u6307\u5728\u6b50\u6d32\u5317\u6d77\u751f\u7522\u4ee5\u53ca\u5728\u897f\u6b50\u63d0\u7149\uff0c\u4e26\u5728\u502b\u6566\u570b\u969b\u539f\u6cb9\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\uff08<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">ICE<\/span><span>\uff09\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\uff0c\u9069\u5408\u7528\u4f86\u63d0\u7149\u6c7d\u6cb9\u3001\u67f4\u7528\u8207\u5674\u5c04\u71c3\u6cb9\u3002<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">WTI<\/span><span>\u539f\u6cb9\u5247\u4e3b\u8981\u6307\u81ea\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4ee5\u53ca\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u7063\u9032\u53e3\u81f3\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u897f\u90e8\u8207\u6d77\u7063\u5340\u6cbf\u5cb8\u63d0\u7149\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\uff0c\u5b83\u7684\u54c1\u8cea\u76f8\u5c0d\u8f03\u9ad8\uff0c\u53ef\u7cbe\u7149\u51fa\u8f03\u9ad8\u6bd4\u4f8b\u7684\u6c7d\u6cb9\uff0c\u7d10\u7d04\u5546\u696d\u671f\u8ca8\u4ea4\u6613\u6240\uff08<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">NYMEX<\/span><span>\uff09\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u4f86\u81ea<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Oklahoma<\/span><span>\uff08\u7f8e\u570b<\/span><span>\u5967\u514b\u62c9\u8377\u99ac\u5dde<\/span><span>\uff09<\/span><span>\uff0c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">1920<\/span><span>\u5e74\u4ee3\u8d77\uff0c\u773e\u591a\u77f3\u6cb9\u5bcc\u5546\u548c\u725b\u4ed4\u5c31\u4f86\u6b64\u8655\u958b\u58be\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u662f\u539f\u6cb9\u5230\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u96c6\u6563\u5730\u3002<\/p>\n<p><\/span><font size=\"3\"><span lang=\"EN-US\"><\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">WTI<\/span><span>\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u5927\u591a\u6642\u5019\u662f\u9ad8\u65bc<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Brent<\/span><span>\u6cb9\u50f9\u7684\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u56e0\u70ba<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">WTI<\/span><span>\u539f\u6cb9\u54c1\u8cea\u6bd4<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Brent<\/span><span>\u539f\u6cb9\u7684\u54c1\u8cea\u9084\u597d<\/span><span>\uff0c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\"> Brent<\/span><span>\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u901a\u5e38\u6bd4<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">WTI<\/span><span>\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u6bcf\u6876\u5927\u6982\u4fbf\u5b9c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">US$1.0~US$1.5<\/span><span>\u5143\uff0c\u539f\u6cb9\u8981\u7d93\u904e\u63d0\u7149\u5f8c\u624d\u80fd\u6210\u70ba\u6c7d\u6cb9\u4f7f\u7528\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u570b\u4e2d\u90e8\u5730\u5340\u7149\u6cb9\u5ee0\u6aa2\u4fee\u548c\u505c\u7522\u6703\u5c0e\u81f4\u7121\u6cd5\u7149\u6cb9\uff0c\u7576\u5730\u539f\u6cb9\u7684\u5eab\u5b58\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4f46\u4f86\u81ea\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u5247\u662f\u4f9d\u6b63\u5e38\u6c34\u6e96\u4f9b\u61c9\u7d66\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c<\/span><span>WTI\u539f\u6cb9\u53d7\u5230\u9700\u6c42\u88ab\u53d6\u4ee3\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c<\/span><span>\u6240\u4ee5\u8b8a\u76f8\u4f7f\u7684\u7576\u5730\u539f\u6cb9\u5eab\u5b58\u5927\u589e<\/span><span>\uff0c\u50f9\u683c\u51fa\u73fe\u7a0d\u6e1b\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1<\/span><span>\u3002<\/span><\/font><span><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\"><font size=\"3\"><span>\u4f46<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">WTI<\/span><span>\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u4f4e\u65bc<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Brent<\/span><span>\u6cb9\u50f9\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u96a8\u8457\u7149\u6cb9\u5ee0\u56e0\u7149\u6cb9\u5229\u6f64\u6fc0\u589e\u800c\u7d1b\u7d1b\u63d0\u9ad8\u7522\u91cf\u3001\u539f\u6cb9\u9032\u53e3\u6e1b\u5c11\u5c0e\u81f4\u7f8e\u570b\u5eab\u5b58\u4e0b\u964d\u800c\u9010\u6f38\u6d88\u901d\u3002<\/span><\/font><span><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u4ee5<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Brent<\/span><span>\u539f\u6cb9\u4f5c\u70ba\u570b\u969b\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u7684\u6307\u6a19\u6703\u6bd4\u7406\u60f3\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u6b50\u7f8e\u570b\u5bb6\u7684\u6cb9\u50f9\u5f9e\u4e2d\u6771\u3001\u975e\u6d32\u8f38\u5165\u90fd\u662f\u4f9d\u7167<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Brent<\/span><span>\u539f\u6cb9\u8a02\u50f9\uff0c\u4fc4\u7f85\u65af\u3001\u5948\u53ca\u5229\u4e9e\u9084\u6709\u4e2d\u6771\u548c\u4e9e\u6d32\u5176\u4ed6\u5730\u5340\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u751f\u7522\u5546\u4e5f\u662f\u4ee5\u5b83\u70ba\u53c3\u8003\u6307\u6a19\uff0c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">WTI<\/span><span>\u6cb9\u50f9\u7684\u7279\u6027\u662f\u53cd\u6620\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u4f9b\u9700\u60c5\u6cc1\uff0c<\/span><span lang=\"EN-US\">Brent<\/span><span>\u6cb9\u50f9\u5247\u662f\u53cd\u6620\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u9700\u8b8a\u5316\u8207\u5730\u7de3\u653f\u6cbb\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u3002<\/span>\n<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><font size=\"3\">20100413\u958b\u59cb,\u5169\u7a2e\u539f\u6cb9\u50f9\u683c\u5dee\u51fa\u73fe\u5feb\u901f\u7e2e\u6e1b\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1,\u8ca8\u5e63\u4e0a\u6700\u5148\u770b\u5230\u7684\u5c31\u662fZAR,\u958b\u59cb\u51fa\u73fe\u5927\u5e45\u56de\u6a94<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u9663\u5b50\u4ee5\u4f86 , \u76f4\u523020100526\u958b\u59cb , \u5169\u7a2e\u539f\u6cb9\u7684\u50f9\u5dee\u958b\u59cb\u53c8\u6062\u5fa9\u6b63\u5e38 , \u5468\u4e09\u4ee5\u5f8c , \u8ca8\u5e63\u6216\u8a31\u5c31\u6703\u958b\u59cb\u51fa\u73fe\u4e00\u4e9b\u8b8a\u5316\u4e86 , \u8a0a\u865f\u7a69\u5b9a\u4ee5\u524d , \u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u662f\u4e0d\u5efa\u8b70\u592a\u5927\u7684\u64cd\u4f5c\u7684 , \u98a8\u96aa\u592a\u9ad8 , \u9664\u4e86\u539f\u6cb9\u4ee5\u5916 , \u975e\u7f8e\u8ca8\u5e63\u77ed\u7dda\u4e0a\u53ef\u80fd\u90fd\u9084\u6709\u56de\u6a94\u7684\u53ef\u80fd , \u6240\u4ee5\u624d\u6703\u5efa\u8b70\u7e7c\u7e8c\u7b49\u5f85 , \u518d\u7b492\u500b\u7f8e\u80a1\u7684\u4ea4\u6613\u7d50\u679c\u5f8c , \u51fa\u73fe\u50f9\u683c\u56de\u6a94\u518d\u4f86\u505a\u52a0\u78bc\u7684\u52d5\u4f5c<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<hr \/>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>\u82f1\u570b\u77f3\u6cb9\u516c\u53f8\u6436\u6551\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u7063\u6f0f\u6cb9\u7684\u5404\u9805\u8fa6\u6cd5\u63a5\u4e8c\u9023\u4e09\u5931\u6557\uff0c\u73fe\u5728\u53c8\u958b\u59cb\u6e96\u5099\u63a1\u53d6\u53e6\u4e00\u7a2e\u66f4\u8017\u6642\u8cbb\u5de5\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c42\u5929\u4ee5\u4f86\uff0c\u5916\u6d29\u7684\u539f\u6cb9\u4f30\u8a08\u5df2\u7d93\u8d85\u904e2000\u842c\u52a0\u5d19\uff0c\u8db3\u5920\u52a0\u6eff130\u842c\u8f1b\u6c7d\u8eca\u7684\u6cb9\u7bb1\u3002\u904e\u53bb\u5e7e\u5929\uff0c\u82f1\u570b\u77f3\u6cb9\u516c\u53f8\u8a66\u5716\u4ee5\u6c34\u6ce5\u704c\u6f3f\u7684\u300c\u5c01\u9802\u6cd5\u300d\uff0c\u4f86\u5835\u4f4f\u53d7\u640d\u7206\u88c2\u7684\u6cb9\u4e95\uff0c\u4f46\u5f8c\u4f86\u9084\u662f\u5ba3\u544a\u5931\u6557\u3002\u73fe\u5728\uff0c\u6539\u63a1\u7528\u6240\u8b02\u7684\u300c\u622a\u6cb9\u84cb\u5e3d\u300d\u5de5\u6cd5\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u9019\u4e9b\u90fd\u53ea\u662f\u61c9\u6025\u7684\u8fa6\u6cd5\uff0c\u8981\u771f\u6b63\u963b\u6b62\u6f0f\u6cb9\uff0c\u6700\u597d\u7684\u5c0d\u7b56\u662f\u5728\u6f0f\u6cb9\u53e3\u9644\u8fd1\uff0c\u947d\u4e00\u500b\u65b0\u7684\u6e1b\u58d3\u4e95\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u9019\u9805\u5de5\u7a0b\u8981\u5230\u516b\u6708\u4efd\u624d\u80fd\u5b8c\u6210\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u500b\u74b0\u5883\u885d\u64ca\u548c\u5f8c\u7e8c\u7684\u91d1\u984d\u640d\u5931\u6839\u672c\u4e0d\u4e9e\u65bc\u6b50\u6d32\u50b5\u4fe1\u9020\u6210\u7684\u640d\u5931,\u76ee\u524d\u9664\u4e86\u6b50\u6d32\u50b5\u4fe1\u98a8\u66b4\u4ee5\u5916,\u9084\u6709\u9019\u500b\u5927\u554f\u984c,\u53ea\u662f\u4e0d\u77e5\u70ba\u4f55,\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u9019\u6d88\u606f\u90fd\u9084\u6c92\u5565\u53cd\u61c9,\u5982\u679c\u8981\u7092\u4f5c\u6cb9\u50f9\u7684\u8a71,\u773c\u4e0b\u9019\u984c\u6750\u7d55\u5c0d\u662f\u5927\u5229\u591a,\u800c\u4e14\u6301\u4e45\u6027\u6975\u9577<\/p>\n<p>\u9019\u500b\u74b0\u5883\u885d\u64ca\u548c\u5f8c\u7e8c\u7684\u91d1\u984d\u640d\u5931\u8ddf\u6b50\u6d32\u50b5\u4fe1\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5f71\u97ff\u3127\u6a23\u9707\u9a5a\u5168\u7403<br \/>\n\u76ee\u524d\u9664\u4e86\u6b50\u6d32\u50b5\u4fe1\u98a8\u66b4\u4ee5\u5916,\u9084\u6709\u9019\u500b\u5927\u554f\u984c,\u53ea\u662f\u4e0d\u77e5\u70ba\u4f55,\u5e02\u5834\u5c0d\u9019\u6d88\u606f\u90fd\u9084\u6c92\u5565\u53cd\u61c9<br 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class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u76ee\u524d\u6240\u5728\u89c0\u5bdf\u7684\u8a0a\u865f , WTI\u539f\u6cb9(\u9ed1\u7dda)\u548c <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/2010\/05\/31\/the-signal\/\" title=\"The 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