{"id":2526,"date":"2008-04-24T13:24:00","date_gmt":"2008-04-24T05:24:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ec.moneydj.com\/joe\/?p=2526"},"modified":"2014-07-18T18:13:24","modified_gmt":"2014-07-18T10:13:24","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e7%b4%90%e7%b4%84%e8%8f%af%e7%88%be%e8%a1%97%e5%90%8d%e8%a8%80%e9%8c%84","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/2008\/04\/24\/%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e7%b4%90%e7%b4%84%e8%8f%af%e7%88%be%e8%a1%97%e5%90%8d%e8%a8%80%e9%8c%84\/","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u570b\u7d10\u7d04\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u540d\u8a00\u9304"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><!-- Origin Article URL: http:\/\/www.wretch.cc\/blog\/joejoejoe\/13908847 --><br \/>\n<!-- RTE=old --><\/p>\n<p><font size=\"3\">George Soros\u540d\u8a00\u9304<\/font><\/p>\n<p><font size=\"3\">\u300cIf investing is entertaining, if you&rsquo;re having fun, you&rsquo;re probably not making any money. Good investing is boring.\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u5047\u5982\u6295\u8cc7\u662f\u4e00\u9805\u5a1b\u6a02\uff0c\u90a3\u9ebc\u6a02\u5728\u5176\u4e2d\u7684\u4eba\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u8cfa\u4e0d\u5230\u9322\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u597d\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u662f\u5f88\u7121\u8da3\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300cI&rsquo;m only rich because I know when I&rsquo;m wrong, I basically have survived by recognizing my mistakes.\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u56e0\u70ba\u6211\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u6211\u4e86\u89e3\u6211\u72af\u932f\u6642\u52c7\u65bc\u627f\u8a8d\u932f\u8aa4\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u5bcc\u88d5\u4e86\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300cThe financial markets generally are unpredictable. So that one has to have different scenarios&hellip; The idea that you can actually predict what&rsquo;s going to happen contradicts my way of looking at the market.\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u91d1\u878d\u5e02\u5834\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u9810\u6e2c\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u7684\u767c\u5c55\u5287\u672c\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u80fd\u9810\u6e2c\u5c07\u6703\u767c\u751f\u4ec0\u9ebc\uff0c\u90a3\u5012\u662f\u548c\u6211\u770b\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e92\u76f8\u77db\u76fe\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300cMarkets are constantly in a state of uncertainty and flux, and money is made by discounting the obvious and betting on the unexpected.\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u5e02\u5834\u7e3d\u662f\u8655\u65bc\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u548c\u52d5\u8569\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002\u5ffd\u8996\u986f\u800c\u6613\u898b\u7684\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u62bc\u6ce8\u4eba\u5011\u610f\u6599\u4e4b\u5916\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\uff0c\u9019\u6a23\u624d\u80fd\u8cfa\u9322\u3002 <\/p>\n<p>\u300cThe worse a situation becomes, the less it takes to turn it around, and the bigger the upside.\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u7576\u5e02\u5834\u6c23\u6c1b\u8b8a\u5f97\u66f4\u7cdf\u7cd5\u6642\uff0c\u51fa\u73fe\u8f49\u6a5f\u7684\u6a5f\u6703\u6108\u5927\uff0c\u6f5b\u5728\u7684\u6f32\u5e45\u4e5f\u6703\u66f4\u53ef\u89c0\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300cStock market bubbles don&rsquo;t grow out of thin air. They have a solid basis in reality, but reality is distorted by a misconception.\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u80a1\u5e02\u6ce1\u6cab\u7d55\u4e0d\u6703\u6191\u7a7a\u51fa\u73fe\uff0c\u5b83\u5011\u4f86\u81ea\u65bc\u7a69\u56fa\u6839\u64da\u7684\u73fe\u5be6\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u9019\u500b\u4e8b\u5be6\u537b\u56e0\u70ba\u67d0\u7a2e\u8aa4\u89e3\u800c\u88ab\u626d\u66f2\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300cUnfortunately, the more complex the system, the greater the room for error.\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u5f88\u4e0d\u5e78\u7684\uff0c\u8d8a\u8907\u96dc\u7684\u7cfb\u7d71\uff0c\u51fa\u932f\u7684\u6a5f\u7387\u8d8a\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300cThe hardest thing to judge is what level of risk is safe.\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u96e3\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u662f\u5224\u65b7\u4ec0\u9ebc\u6a23\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u662f\u5b89\u5168\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300cMaking an investment decision is like formulating a scientific hypothesis and submitting it to a practical test. The main difference is that the hypothesis that underlies an investment decision is intended to make money and not to establish a universally valid generalization.\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u505a\u51fa\u4e00\u500b\u6295\u8cc7\u6c7a\u7b56\u50cf\u662f\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u500b\u79d1\u5b78\u7684\u5047\u8aaa\uff0c\u4e26\u4e14\u505a\u4e00\u500b\u5be6\u969b\u7684\u6e2c\u8a66\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u5340\u5225\u5728\u65bc\uff0c\u6210\u70ba\u4e00\u500b\u6295\u8cc7\u6c7a\u7b56\u7684\u5047\u8a2d\u57fa\u790e\u7684\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u70ba\u4e86\u8cfa\u9322\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u5efa\u7acb\u4e00\u500b\u666e\u904d\u6709\u6548\u7684\u6982\u5ff5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u300cWe try to catch new trends early and in later stages we try to catch trend reversals. Therefore, we tend to stabilize rather than destabilize the market. We are not doing this as a public service. It is our style of making money.\u300d<\/p>\n<p>\u6211\u5011\u8a66\u5716\u6293\u4f4f\u65b0\u8da8\u52e2\u7684\u521d\u671f\u548c\u4e2d\u5f8c\u671f\uff0c\u8a66\u5716\u6293\u5340\u8da8\u52e2\u53cd\u8f49\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u50be\u5411\u7a69\u5b9a\u800c\u975e\u52d5\u6416\u5e02\u5834\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u4e0d\u662f\u5728\u505a\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52d9\uff0c\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u6211\u5011\u8cfa\u9322\u7684\u6a21\u5f0f\u3002<br \/>\n<\/font><br \/>\n<font size=\"3\" color=\"#ff0000\">\u5f88\u591a\u9053\u7406\uff0c\u77e5\u9053\uff0c\u537b\u5f88\u96e3\u505a\u5230<\/font><\/p>\n<table width=\"597\" cellspacing=\"0\" cellpadding=\"0\" border=\"1\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">1<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u7121\u8ad6\u505a\u591a\uff0c\u505a\u7a7a\u90fd\u53ef\u4ee5\u8cfa\u9322\uff0c\u552f\u6709\u8caa\u5fc3\u8005\u4f8b\u5916<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">2<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u4e0d\u8981\u9055\u6297\u5e02\u5834\u3001\u4e0d\u8981\u8207\u5831\u50f9\u6a5f\u722d\u8faf\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u6c38\u9060\u662f\u5c0d\u7684<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">3<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u6c7a\u5b9a\u8981\u7406\u6027\uff0c\u9032\u51fa\u80a1\u7968\u5207\u5fcc\u885d\u52d5<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">4&nbsp;<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u770b\u4e0d\u6e96\uff0c\u770b\u4e0d\u61c2\uff0c\u6c92\u6709\u628a\u63e1\u6642\u4e0d\u9032\u5834<br \/>\n\u4f5c\u80a1\u7968\u5207\u5fcc\uff0c\u7b49\u5f85\u826f\u597d\u7684\u6642\u6a5f\u9032\u5834\u624d\u662f\u7a69\u8cfa\u4e0d\u8ce0\u7684\u6cd5\u5247<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">5<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u6295\u8cc7\u6210\u529f = \u7d00\u5f8b + \u8010\u5fc3 + \u4e00\u81f4\u6027 + \u4fe1\u5fc3<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">6<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u7a7a\u624b\u591a\u7b49\u5f85\uff0c\u80a1\u5e02\u4e2d\u6700\u96e3\u7684\u5c31\u662f\u7b49\u5f85&nbsp;<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">7<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u57f9\u990a\u6b63\u78ba\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u89c0\u5ff5\u6bd4\u4e00\u6642\u7684\u7372\u5229\u66f4\u91cd\u8981<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">8<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u77ed\u52dd\u4e0d\u5982\u9577\u52dd\uff0c\u9577\u52dd\u4e0d\u5982\u6c38\u52dd\uff0c\u6c38\u52dd\u5c31\u662f\u7a69\u8cfa\u4e0d\u8ce0&nbsp;<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">9<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u6311\u9078\u81ea\u5df1\u719f\u6089\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u9032\u884c\u64cd\u4f5c&nbsp;<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">10<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u8207\u7fa4\u773e\u76f8\u53cd\u7684\u64cd\u4f5c\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u773e\u4eba\u6436\u9032\u6642\uff0c\u8ce3\u51fa\u6301\u80a1\uff0c\u5e02\u5834\u4eba\u7a00\u6642\u8cb7\u9032\u80a1\u7968&nbsp;<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">11<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u5fcd\u8010\u662f\u81f4\u52dd\u7684\u95dc\u9375\uff0c\u96e2\u5834\u662f\u907f\u514d\u624b\u7662\u7684\u6700\u597d\u7684\u8fa6\u6cd5<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">12<\/font><\/td>\n<td>\n<p><font size=\"3\">\u771f\u7406\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u7ad9\u5728\u591a\u6578\u4eba\u4e00\u908a\uff0c\u773e\u4eba\u7686\u770b\u597d\uff0c\u5247\u884c\u60c5\u672a\u5fc5\u7e7c\u7e8c\u597d\uff0c\u773e\u4eba\u7686\u770b\u58de\u6642\uff0c\u884c\u60c5\u672a\u5fc5\u5c31\u58de\u4e0b\u53bb\u3002<br \/>\n\u9ad8\u660e\u7684\u6280\u8853\u64cd\u4f5c\u8005\uff0c\u5fc5\u9808\u505a\u7368\u884c\u72f9\uff0c\u9700\u5c0d\u884c\u60c5\u4fdd\u6301\u7368\u7acb\u5224\u65b7\uff0c\u6ce8\u610f\u53cd\u5e02\u5834\u64cd\u4f5c\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u8ddf\u96a8\u5225\u4eba\uff0c\u4e0d\u8981\u6709\u7f8a\u7fa4\u5fc3\u7406<\/font><\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">13<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u9577\u671f\u64cd\u4f5c\u7684\u767c\u5c55\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u6c38\u9060\u662f\u5468\u800c\u5fa9\u59cb\u7684\u516c\u5f0f\u4e2d\u9032\u884c\u7684\uff0c\u80a1\u50f9\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\u4e26\u975e\u6beb\u7121\u898f\u5f8b\u7684\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u4f60\u80fd\u627e\u5230\u9019\u4e9b\u898f\u5f8b\uff0c\u4e26\u4f9d\u6cd5\u53bb\u505a\uff0c\u60f3\u4e0d\u8cfa\u90fd\u5f88\u96e3<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">14<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\u7684\u5229\u7a7a\uff0c\u5c31\u4e0d\u518d\u662f\u5229\u7a7a\uff0c<br \/>\n\u8b49\u5238\u90e8\u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u5728\u6392\u968a\u6642\uff0c\u624d\u662f\u8cb7\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u597d\u6642\u6a5f<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">15<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u591a\u982d\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u6709\u7372\u5229\u4e86\u7d50\u7684\u89c0\u5ff5\uff0c\u7a7a\u982d\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u6709\u56de\u88dc\u7684\u89c0\u5ff5\uff0c\u5e33\u9762\u7372\u5229\u662f\u4e0d\u80fd\u7b97\u7684&nbsp;<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">16<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u5728\u80a1\u5e02\u4f4e\u8ff7\u6642\u7684\u50f9\u986f\u73fe\u51fa\u504f\u4f4e\u7684\u73fe\u8c61\uff0c\u6d6e\u52d5\u7684\u7c4c\u78bc\u624d\u80fd\u5f97\u5230\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u5b89\u5b9a\u6b78\u5bbf<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">17<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u66b4\u8dcc\u662f\u5927\u8cfa\u9322\u7684\u958b\u59cb\uff0c\u5927\u6f32\u662f\u5927\u8ce0\u7684\u958b\u59cb<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">18<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u80a1\u5e02\u4e2d\u4e09\u7a2e\u57fa\u672c\u6750\u6599\u70ba\u8cc7\u91d1\uff0c\u80a1\u7968\u548c\u5229\u591a\u5229\u7a7a\u6d88\u606f\uff0c<br \/>\n\u80a1\u5e02\u7372\u5229\u7684\u5169\u5927\u8981\u9ede\uff0c\u4e00\u70ba\u6280\u8853\uff0c\u4e8c\u70ba\u8cc7\u91d1<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">19<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u5149\u9760\u756b\u7dda\u7121\u6cd5\u77e5\u6089\u80a1\u5e02\u8b8a\u5316\u7684\u865b\u5be6\uff0c\u552f\u6709\u50f9\u91cf\u914d\u5408\u624d\u80fd\u771f\u6b63\u6d1e\u6089\u80a1\u50f9\u8b8a\u5316\u7684\u65b9\u5411<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">20<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u8981\u6709\u98a8\u96aa\u610f\u8b58\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u6642\u5019\u7686\u4e0d\u53ef\u5c0d\u80a1\u50f9\u6301\u904e\u5206\u6a02\u89c0\u7684\u614b\u5ea6<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">21<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u5efa\u7acb\u5728\u7965\u7d30\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u8a08\u7b97\u8207\u6295\u8cc7\u916c\u7387\u7684\u638c\u63e1\u4e4b\u4e0a<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">22<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u5207\u5fcc\u983b\u7e41\u63db\u80a1\uff0c\u7336\u8c6b\u4e0d\u5b9a\u6642\uff0c\u52ff\u63a1\u53d6\u884c\u52d5<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">23<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u8cb7\u8ce3\u80a1\u7968\u7684\u4e94\u9805\u8981\u6c7a\u662f\uff1a\u5fcd\u3001\u7b49\u3001\u7a69\u3001\u6e96\u3001\u72e0<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">24<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u5929\u50f9\u4e0d\u8cb7\uff0c\u5730\u50f9\u4e0d\u8ce3\uff0c\u4e0d\u8981\u4f01\u5716\u6293\u5230\u6700\u9ad8\u50f9\u548c\u6700\u4f4e\u50f9\uff0c\u5403\u4e2d\u9593\u4e00\u6bb5\u5df2\u7d93\u5f88\u597d\u4e86<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">25<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u4eba\u68c4\u6211\u53d6\uff0c\u4eba\u53d6\u6211\u68c4\uff0c\u725b\u5e02\u9032\u5834\uff0c\u718a\u5e02\u653e\u5047\u3002\u514d\u5f97\u624b\u7662\u4e82\u52d5<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">26<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u80a1\u5e02\u6709\u98a8\u96aa\uff0c\u8981\u6709\u98a8\u96aa\u610f\u8b58\uff0c\u9032\u51fa\u9700\u8b39\u614e<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">27<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u80a1\u5e02\u4e2d\u6295\u8cc7\u6295\u6a5f\u7686\u53ef\u7372\u5229\uff0c\u4f46\u4e0d\u53ef\u904e\u5206\u8ff7\u6200\u5b83\uff0c\u4ee5\u514d\u5224\u65b7\u8ff7\u5931\u65b9\u5411<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">28<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u80a1\u5e02\u7372\u5229\u7684\u5169\u5927\u6cd5\u5bf6\u662f\u4ecb\u5165\u7684\u6642\u6a5f\u8981\u6070\u7576\uff0c\u9078\u80a1\u8981\u6b63\u78ba<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">29<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u62b1\u8457\u6c92\u6307\u671b\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u4e26\u671f\u671b\u5b83\u56de\u5230\u539f\u4f4d\uff0c\u662f\u6700\u611a\u8822\u7684\u4e8b\uff0c\u4e0d\u5982\u8d95\u5feb\u812b\u624b\uff0c\u63db\u4e00\u5f35\u6709\u5e0c\u671b\u7684\u80a1\u7968<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">30<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u76c8\u5229\u6700\u5927\u7684\u6575\u4eba\u5c31\u662f\u8caa\u5a6a\uff0c\u77e5\u8db3\u662f\u80a1\u5e02\u4e2d\u7372\u5229\u7684\u8981\u6c7a\uff0c\u77e5\u8db3\u5e38\u52dd\uff0c\u8caa\u5c31\u662f\u8ca7<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">31<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u80a1\u6f6e\u6f32\u843d\u552f\u6211\u975c\u89c0\uff0c\u5224\u65b7\u5fc5\u9808\u4fdd\u6301\u4e2d\u7acb\uff0c\u52ff\u53d7\u4ed6\u4eba\u7684\u5f71\u97ff<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">32<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u6295\u8cc7\u52ff\u5fc3\u6025\uff0c\u8981\u80fd\u7b49\uff0c\u80fd\u5fcd\uff0c\u51e1\u662f\u80a1\u5e02\u4e2d\u7684\u8001\u624b\u90fd\u662f\u7cbe\u65bc\u7b49\u5f85\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u7cbe\u65bc\u6295\u8cc7\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u5e7e\u4e4e\u90fd\u662f\u7b49\u5f85\u7684\u8001\u624b<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">33<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u7d30\u5fc3\u9078\u51fa\u4f86\u7684\u597d\u80a1\u7968\uff0c\u4e0d\u5fc5\u8caa\u5716\u773c\u524d\u7684\u5c0f\u5229\u5c31\u6025\u65bc\u8ce3\u51fa<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">34<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u77ed\u7dda\u662f\u9280\uff0c\u9577\u7dda\u662f\u91d1\uff0c\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u5bb6\u662f\u80fd\u770b\u6e96\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u9577\u671f\u8da8\u52e2\uff0c\u638c\u63e1\u5148\u6a5f\uff0c\u9577\u62b1\u7b49\u5f85\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u53ea\u5716\u77ed\u5229\u800c\u6c92\u6709\u9577\u9060\u773c\u5149\u7684\u4eba\u662f\u4e0d\u7b97\u6295\u8cc7\u9ad8\u624b<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">35<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u4e0d\u8981\u5728\u4e0b\u8dcc\u7684\u884c\u60c5\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f38\u624b\u53bb\u63a5\u9ad8\u7a7a\u5f80\u4e0b\u6389\u7684\u5200\u5b50\uff0c\u56e0\u70ba\u5bb9\u6613\u5272\u50b7\u624b\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8981\u63a5\u4e5f\u8981\u7b49\u5230\u5200\u5b50\u8dcc\u5230\u5730\u4e0a\uff0c\u518d\u62ff\u8d77\u4f86\u624d\u4e0d\u6703\u88ab\u50b7\u5bb3<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">36<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u8cb7\u7a4d\u512a\u80a1\u4e26\u4e0d\u662f\u7121\u689d\u4ef6\u7684\u53bb\u8cb7\uff0c\u718a\u5e02\u7684\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u7a4d\u512a\u80a1\u7167\u6a23\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002\u56e0\u70ba\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u61c9\u8a72\u9806\u52e2\u800c\u70ba\uff0c\u4f4e\u50f9\u6642\u8cb7\u9032\u597d\u80a1\u7968\u9577\u62b1\u4e0d\u653e\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u9ad8\u50f9\u6642\u5927\u8086\u63a1\u8cfc<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">37<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u8981\u6230\u52dd\u80a1\u6f6e\uff0c\u9808\u5148\u514b\u670d\u81ea\u5df1\u5728\u6280\u8853\u4e0a\u53ca\u4fee\u990a\u4e0a\u7684\u5f31\u9ede\uff0c\u7cbe\u660e\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u8005\u514b\u5236\u81ea\u5df1\uff0c\u57f9\u990a\u51fa\u51b7\u975c\uff0c\u6c88\u8457\u7684\u529f\u592b\uff0c\u975c\u89c0\u80a1\u6f6e\u6f32\u843d<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">38<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\u662f\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u5143\u6c23\uff0c\u80a1\u50f9\u53ea\u4e0d\u904e\u662f\u91cf\u7684\u8868\u73fe\u800c\u5df2\u3002\u6210\u4ea4\u91cf\u901a\u5e38\u6bd4\u80a1\u50f9\u5148\u884c<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">39<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u4e0d\u8981\u628a\u7cbe\u6311\u7d30\u9078\u7684\u80a1\u7968\u5728\u958b\u59cb\u4e0a\u6f32\u6642\u5c31\u8ce3\u6389\uff0c\u53ea\u6709\u898b\u8b58\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u88ab\u8f15\u6613\u6d17\u6389\u800c\u7121\u81bd\u91cf\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u662f\u8cfa\u4e0d\u5230\u5927\u9322\u7684<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">40<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u672b\u5347\u7bc0\u6bb5\uff0c\u5c31\u8c61\u6d41\u6c34\u5e2d\u4e00\u6a23\u4efb\u4f60\u5403\u559d\uff0c\u4f86\u8005\u4e0d\u62d2\uff0c\u4f46\u4e00\u524e\u90a3\u9593\uff0c\u5927\u9580\u95dc\u4e0a\u4e00\u8209\u5c31\u64d2\u3002\u88ab\u902e\u4f4f\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u628a\u524d\u9762\u5403\u559d\u7684\u4eba\u6240\u6b20\u7684\u5e33\u5168\u90e8\u9084\u6e05<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">41<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u512a\u79c0\u7684\u6280\u8853\u5206\u6790\u8005\uff0c\u61c9\u8a72\u5b78\u6703\u5b64\u7368<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">42<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">\u4e0d\u8981\u592a\u76f8\u4fe1\u591a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\u672b\u671f\u7684\u5229\u597d\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0d\u8981\u592a\u76f8\u4fe1\u7a7a\u982d\u5e02\u5834\u672b\u671f\u7684\u58de\u6d88\u606f<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><font size=\"3\">43<\/font><\/td>\n<td><font size=\"3\">Buffett\uff1a\u300cmaybe uneasy , you should keep enough cash so that you don&#039;t do foolish things when others are doing foolish things.\u300d<br \/>\n\u5df4\u83f2\u7279\uff1a\u300c\u4f60\u61c9\u8a72\u5728\u5225\u4eba\u505a\u8822\u4e8b\u7684\u6642\u5019\u4fdd\u7559\u73fe\u91d1\uff0c\u4e5f\u8a31\u8b93\u4eba\u611f\u89ba\u5f88\u4e0d\u81ea\u5728\uff0c\u4e0d\u904e\u7e3d\u6bd4\u4f5c\u8822\u4e8b\u8981\u4f86\u5f97\u597d\u3002\u300d<\/font><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>George Soros\u540d\u8a00\u9304 \u300cIf inves <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/2008\/04\/24\/%e7%be%8e%e5%9c%8b%e7%b4%90%e7%b4%84%e8%8f%af%e7%88%be%e8%a1%97%e5%90%8d%e8%a8%80%e9%8c%84\/\" title=\"\u7f8e\u570b\u7d10\u7d04\u83ef\u723e\u8857\u540d\u8a00\u9304\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":8,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2526","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-economic-history-story"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_shortlink":"https:\/\/wp.me\/p4VJae-EK","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2526","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/8"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2526"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2526\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":5653,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2526\/revisions\/5653"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2526"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2526"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2526"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}