{"id":2445,"date":"2008-03-19T14:54:00","date_gmt":"2008-03-19T06:54:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ec.moneydj.com\/joe\/?p=2445"},"modified":"2014-07-18T18:14:43","modified_gmt":"2014-07-18T10:14:43","slug":"%e6%ad%90%e6%b4%b2%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e8%88%87%e9%80%9a%e8%86%a8%e6%94%b6%e7%b8%ae","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/2008\/03\/19\/%e6%ad%90%e6%b4%b2%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4%e8%88%87%e9%80%9a%e8%86%a8%e6%94%b6%e7%b8%ae\/","title":{"rendered":"\u6b50\u6d32\u5e02\u5834\u8207\u901a\u81a8\u6536\u7e2e"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

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\n\u4e4b\u524d\u8b80\u904ePTT\u4f5c\u8005 isaacchen<\/font>\u7684\u4e00\u4e9b\u6587\u7ae0,\u6240\u4ee5\u6587\u7ae0\u53ef\u80fd\u6703\u51fa\u73fe\u76f8\u4f3c\u7684\u6558\u8ff0
\n\u4e0d\u904e\u6211\u6703\u518d\u52a0\u5165\u4e00\u4e9b\u5916\u532f\u7684\u770b\u6cd5,\u7136\u5f8c\u6539\u7684\u66f4\u767d\u8a71\u6587
\n(\u6211\u4e4b\u524d\u5df2\u7d93\u5bc4\u4fe1\u544a\u8a34\u904e\u539f\u4f5c,\u7d93\u904e\u5c0d\u65b9\u540c\u610f\u518d\u5f15\u7528)
\n===================================================================
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\n\u5148\u770b\u770b2\u6708\u4efd\u6578\u64da\u5230\u5e95\u986f\u793a\u4e86\u4ec0\u9ebc<\/font><\/p>\n

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\n2.\u6b50\u5143\u5927\u6f32<\/font>,\u5229\u7387\u6301\u5e73,\u9032\u53e3\u7269\u50f9\u4e0b\u8dcc,\u5c0e\u81f4\u7684\u7d50\u679c\u662f====\uff1e\u6b50\u6d322\u6708\u901a\u81a8\u5c62\u5275\u65b0\u9ad8<\/font>
\n(\u8ca8\u5e63\u532f\u7387\u4e0a\u6f32,\u5c0d\u9032\u53e3\u6709\u5229,\u56e0\u70ba\u53ef\u4ee5\u8cb7\u66f4\u591a\u570b\u5916\u7684\u539f\u7269\u6599<\/font>
\n\u532f\u7387\u8cb6\u503c,\u5c0d\u51fa\u53e3\u6709\u5229,\u56e0\u70ba\u8cfa\u56de\u5bb6\u7684\u5916\u5e63\u8b8a\u5927\u4e86,\u63db\u56de\u672c\u570b\u8ca8\u5e63\u53ef\u4ee5\u63db\u66f4\u591a<\/font>)<\/font><\/p>\n

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\n\u76ee\u524d\u5168\u7403\u5e02\u5834\u767c\u751f\u4e00\u7a2e\u72c0\u6cc1,\u5168\u7403\u539f\u7269\u6599\u548c\u5546\u54c1\u50f9\u683c\u98c6\u6f32
\n\u52a0\u4e0a\u8ca8\u5e63\u4f9b\u7d66\u5403\u7dca\u7684\u72c0\u6cc1,\u5c0e\u81f4\u7269\u50f9\u4f3c\u4e4e\u6703\u98c6\u6f32\u7684\u932f\u89ba\u5c0e\u81f4\u9810\u671f\u901a\u81a8\u5347\u6eab\u3002
\n(\u4f8b\u5982\u6211\u662f\u5546\u4eba,\u5047\u5982\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\u6709\u5546\u54c1\u6703\u6f32\u50f9\u7684\u6d88\u606f\u767c\u51fa\u4f86,\u96d6\u7136\u7269\u8cc7\u4e0d\u7f3a
\n\u4f46\u6211\u523b\u610f\u63d0\u9ad8\u552e\u50f9,\u4e00\u822c\u4eba\u4e5f\u6703\u89ba\u5f97\u771f\u7684\u662f\u7269\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32)
\n\u9019\u7a2e\u932f\u89ba\u8ddf\u9019\u500b\u4f8b\u5b50\u4e00\u6a23
\nBernanke:”\u4e0d\u7528\u771f\u7684\u628a\u7149\u91d1\u8853\u767c\u660e\u51fa\u4f86,\u53ea\u8981\u5ba3\u7a31\u7149\u91d1\u8853\u767c\u660e\u4e86,\u91d1\u50f9\u5c31\u6703\u5d29\u76e4<\/font>“<\/font><\/p>\n

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\n\u56e0\u70ba\u4e00\u8aaa\u53ef\u80fd\u5f15\u5c0e\u5e02\u5834\u8b93\u5b83\u6210\u771f,\u6240\u4ee5\u4ed6\u5be7\u9858\u8b93\u5e02\u5834\u6709\u8457\u9069\u5ea6\u7684”\u901a\u81a8\u9810\u671f”\u4f86\u89e3\u6c7a\u901a\u7e2e
\n(\u539f\u7269\u6599\u4e0a\u6f32\u4e0d\u4e00\u5b9a\u5c0e\u81f4\u901a\u81a8<\/font>,\u9019\u4e00\u89e3\u91cb\u53ef\u80fd\u53c8\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u7bc7,\u5728\u6b64\u5148\u7565)<\/font><\/p>\n

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\n\u7f8e\u5143\u8cb6\u503c\u6240\u5e36\u4f86\u7684\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139,\u6240\u4ee5\u8ca8\u5e63\u5de5\u5177\u6240\u80fd\u5f15\u5c0e\u7684\u529b\u9053\u6709\u9650\u3002<\/font><\/p>\n

(\u9019\u5c31\u662f\u70ba\u4f55\u53f0\u7063\u672a\u4f86\u5347\u606f\u7a7a\u9593\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u9650,\u7121\u8ad6\u63a5\u4e0b\u4f86\u7684\u901a\u81a8\u6578\u64da\u5982\u4f55)<\/font><\/p>\n

\u7f8e\u570b2007\u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u7684\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u9084\u662f\u5f88\u53ef\u89c0,\u96d6\u7136\u6c11\u9593\u6d88\u8cbb\u9084\u5728\u53ef\u63a5\u53d7\u7684\u7bc4\u570d
\n\u4f46\u5df2\u7d93\u50cf\u662f\u628a\u6c7d\u7403\u5439\u5230\u6700\u98fd\u7684\u72c0\u614b<\/font>,\u5982\u679cfed 2007\u5e74\u7b2c\u56db\u5b63\u6c92\u6709\u5927\u5e45\u964d\u606f
\n\u8b93\u7f8e\u5143\u5927\u5e45\u8cb6\u503c,2008\u5e74\u7b2c\u4e00\u5b63\u53ef\u80fd\u5c31\u6703\u770b\u5230\u7684\u6d88\u8cbb\u6c7d\u7403”\u78b0”\u7834\u6389<\/font><\/font><\/p>\n

(\u901a\u81a8\u8d85\u904e\u67d0\u500b\u81e8\u754c\u9ede\u4e4b\u5f8c,\u556a\u7684\u4e00\u8072,\u6c11\u9593\u6d88\u8cbb\u9700\u6c42\u5927\u5e45\u8870\u9000,\u623f\u50f9\u5d29\u76e4,
\n\u5931\u696d\u7387\u66b4\u589e,\u901a\u81a8\u77ac\u9593\u8b8a\u6210\u901a\u8ca8\u6536\u7e2e<\/font>)(\u9019\u9ede\u592e\u884c\u5f6d\u6dee\u5357\u7e3d\u88c1\u7b97\u662f\u61c9\u5c0d\u7684\u4e0d\u932f\u4e86)
\n===================================================================
\n\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139\u6703\u628a\u4f60\u7684\u9322\u5403\u6389,\u901a\u8ca8\u6536\u7e2e\u6703\u628a\u4f60\u7684\u6771\u897f(\u6295\u8cc7)\u5403\u6389
\n\u6240\u6709\u7684\u6771\u897f,\u53ea\u8981\u4e00\u8cb7\u5c31\u662f\u8dcc\u50f9,\u6bcf\u5929\u7761\u9192\u90fd\u4fbf\u5b9c\u9084\u6709\u66f4\u4fbf\u5b9c,\u4f60\u53ea\u6703\u60f3\u7559\u8457money
\n===================================================================
\n\u63a5\u8457\u9032\u5165\u6b63\u984c<\/font><\/p>\n

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\n\u8d8a\u665a\u9032\u884c\u8ca8\u5e63\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u8abf\u6574,\u8981\u4ed8\u51fa\u7684\u4ee3\u50f9\u6703\u66f4\u9ad8(\u82f1\u570b\u592e\u884c\u5df2\u7d93\u964d\u606f\u4e86)<\/font><\/p>\n

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\n\u5c31\u6703\u6f14\u8b8a\u6210\u901a\u8ca8\u81a8\u8139,\u56e0\u70ba\u71b1\u9322\u4e00\u76f4\u9032\u53bb\u6b50\u6d32,\u8868\u9762\u8cfa\u9322,\u5176\u5be6\u90fd\u88ab\u901a\u81a8\u5403\u6389
\n\u7269\u50f9\u901a\u5e38\u5177\u6709\u9072\u6eef\u6027<\/font>(\u6f32\u50f9\u4e4b\u5f8c\u5f88\u96e3\u8dcc\u50f9<\/font>),\u6b50\u6d32\u7684\u9032\u53e3\u6210\u672c\u591a\u534a\u4e0d\u6703\u56e0\u70ba\u6b50\u5143\u5347\u503c\u5c31\u964d\u4f4e
\n\u5ee0\u5546\u6703\u9810\u7559\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u7372\u5229\u56e0\u61c9\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u4e0a\u6f32\u7684\u52de\u5de5\u6210\u672c\u589e\u52a0\u4ee5\u53ca\u8ca8\u5e63\u53cd\u8f49\u98a8\u96aa\u3002<\/font><\/p>\n

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\n\u9019\u500b\u904e\u7a0b\u6703\u975e\u5e38\u5287\u70c8,\u5230\u6642\u624d\u8981\u7dca\u6025\u964d\u606f\u4ed8\u51fa\u7684\u4ee3\u50f9\u6050\u6015\u6703\u975e\u5e38\u5de8\u5927
\n\u56e0\u70ba
\n1.<\/font>\u964d\u606f\u7684\u904e\u7a0b\u5c07\u5c0e\u81f4\u6b50\u5143\u5927\u5e45\u8cb6\u503c,\u56e0\u70ba\u6b50\u5143\u65e9\u5df2\u904e\u5ea6\u9ad8\u4f30,\u532f\u7387\u88ab\u7092\u4f5c
\n\u5982\u679c\u71b1\u9322\u5927\u8209\u51fa\u8d70,\u8ca8\u5e63\u4f9b\u7d66\u6050\u6015\u6703\u66f4\u52a0\u7dca\u7e2e,\u5c0e\u81f4\u4ee5\u964d\u606f\u5bec\u9b06\u8ca8\u5e63\u7684\u653f\u7b56\u4e8b\u500d\u529f\u534a\u3002<\/font><\/p>\n

2.<\/font>\u6b50\u5143\u5927\u5e45\u8cb6\u503c\u7684\u904e\u7a0b\u5c07\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u63a8\u5347\u9032\u53e3\u7269\u50f9,\u5c0e\u81f4\u6574\u9ad4\u6d88\u8cbb\u5e02\u5834\u66f4\u75b2\u5f31\u3002<\/font><\/p>\n

3.<\/font>\u5373\u4f7f\u6b50\u5143\u5230\u6642\u5927\u5e45\u964d\u606f,\u4f46\u5916\u79fb\u7684\u5ee0\u5546\u7121\u6cd5\u7acb\u5373\u56de\u6d41,\u6b50\u6d32\u4e5f\u5c07\u98fd\u53d7\u591a\u5e74\u7684\u5931\u696d\u4e4b\u82e6,
\n\u8cbf\u6613\u9006\u5dee\u6703\u8b93\u554f\u984c\u96ea\u4e0a\u52a0\u971c\u3002<\/font><\/p>\n

4.<\/font>\u623f\u5730\u7522\u7684\u5d29\u76e4\u5c07\u8b93\u7269\u50f9\u9032\u4e00\u6b65\u8da8\u8dcc\uff0c\u7d66\u901a\u7e2e\u554f\u984c\u88dc\u4e0a\u6700\u5f8c\u4e00\u8173\u3002<\/font><\/p>\n

5.<\/font>\u901a\u7e2e\u4f86\u81e8\u5c0d\u91d1\u878d\u696d\u4f86\u8aaa,\u6703\u8b93\u9280\u884c\u7684\u8cc7\u91d1\u6210\u672c\u8b8a\u7684\u51fa\u5947\u7684\u6602\u8cb4,\u56e0\u70ba\u6240\u6709\u7684\u6771\u897f\u90fd\u5728\u8dcc\u50f9
\n\u6240\u4ee5\u5373\u4f7f\u5229\u7387\u964d\u5230\u96f6,\u7522\u696d\u4ee5\u53ca\u500b\u4eba\u9084\u662f\u6c92\u6709\u501f\u8cb8\u9700\u6c42,\u9280\u884c\u7372\u5229\u5c07\u6703\u8b8a\u7684\u975e\u5e38\u56f0\u96e3
\n\u5df2\u7d93\u80cc\u8ca0\u9f90\u5927\u8cc7\u91d1\u58d3\u529b\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u696d\u96ea\u4e0a\u52a0\u971c,\u8cc7\u91d1\u6c92\u6709\u53bb\u8655,\u7121\u6cd5\u7372\u5229,\u4e0d\u80fd\u5f4c\u88dc\u8667\u640d
\n\u5c0e\u81f4\u5e02\u5834\u4e0a\u8cc7\u91d1\u7684\u6d41\u52d5\u6027\u4f4e,\u52a0\u6df1\u901a\u8ca8\u7dca\u7e2e,\u60e1\u6027\u5faa\u74b0,\u8d70\u5230\u9019\u4e00\u6b65
\n\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u4f01\u696d\u548c\u9280\u884c\u5012\u9589\u6050\u6015\u6703\u662f\u96e3\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u7684\u60c5\u5f62\u3002<\/font><\/p>\n

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\n\u6b50\u6d32\u6d89\u5165\u6b21\u8cb8\u98a8\u66b4\u7684\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e26\u4e0d\u5c0f\u65bc\u7f8e\u570b\u548c\u82f1\u570b
\n\u76ee\u524d\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u570b\u50c5\u5c11\u6578\u570b\u5bb6\u592e\u884c(\u7f8e\u570b\uff0c\u53f0\u7063\uff0c\u5df4\u897f)\u9ad4\u8a8d\u5230\u901a\u7e2e\u5371\u6a5f\u9060\u5927\u65bc\u901a\u81a8
\n===================================================================
\n\u5916\u532f\u65b9\u9762
\n\u6b50\u5143\u7b97\u662f\u81ea\u7f85\u99ac\u5e1d\u570b\u4ee5\u4f86\u6b50\u6d32\u8ca8\u5e63\u6539\u9769\u6700\u70ba\u91cd\u5927\u7684\u7d50\u679c
\n\u6b50\u6d32\u8ca8\u5e63\u672a\u4f86\u8da8\u52e2\u52e2\u5fc5\u6703\u56de\u6a94\u5230\u4e00\u500b\u8f03\u4f4e\u7684\u7de9\u885d\u50f9\u4f4d
\n\u6b50\u51431999\u5e74\u5c0d\u7f8e\u5143\u662f1.18,\u5230\u4e862004\u5e74\u7a81\u78341.35\u7f8e\u5143,\u7f8e\u5143\u5f9e2005\u5e74\u958b\u59cb\u53cd\u5f48
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