{"id":2361,"date":"2008-01-21T04:14:00","date_gmt":"2008-01-20T20:14:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/ec.moneydj.com\/joe\/?p=2361"},"modified":"2014-07-23T12:19:32","modified_gmt":"2014-07-23T04:19:32","slug":"%e7%86%8a%e5%b8%82%e4%b9%8b%e5%bd%b1-the-shadows-behind-the-bear","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/blog.moneydj.com\/joe\/2008\/01\/21\/%e7%86%8a%e5%b8%82%e4%b9%8b%e5%bd%b1-the-shadows-behind-the-bear\/","title":{"rendered":"\u718a\u5e02\u4e4b\u5f71 – The Shadows behind the Bear"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n

\u8f49\u9304\u81eaPTT\u7684fund\u7248 \u4f5c\u8005isaacchen
\n(\u9019\u6bb5\u89c0\u5ff5\u7528\u5728\u57fa\u91d1\u6216\u5916\u532f\u9084\u4e0d\u932f,\u80a1\u5e02\u53ef\u80fd\u4f86\u4e0d\u53ca\u53cd\u61c9)
\n<\/span>
\n\u718a\u5e02\u4e4b\u5f71 – The Shadows behind the Bear<\/span><\/p>\n

\u718a\u5e02\u4f86\u81e8\u524d\u6703\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u5fb5\u5146
\n\u800c\u901a\u5e38\u5fb5\u5146\u958b\u59cb\u51fa\u73fe\u6642\u4f60\u5c31\u5fc5\u9808\u958b\u59cb\u8981\u6709\u6240\u6e96\u5099 \u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u50bb\u50bb\u7684\u51f9
\n\u5e02\u5834\u4e0d\u6703\u4e00\u4e0b\u5b50\u53cd\u8f49 \u901a\u5e38\u6703\u6709\u4e00\u6bb5\u95dc\u9375\u7684”\u8f49\u63db\u671f”
\n\u6240\u4ee5\u4e5f\u4e0d\u662f\u53eb\u4f60\u4e00\u6709\u98a8\u5439\u8349\u52d5\u5c31\u8d95\u7dca\u843d\u8dd1 \u800c\u662f\u5fc5\u9808\u6709\u5b88\u6709\u70ba
\n\u9010\u6b65\u89c0\u5bdf \u9010\u6b65\u4f9d\u7167\u98a8\u96aa\u539f\u5247\u8abf\u6574\u914d\u7f6e<\/p>\n

\u95dc\u65bc\u6211\u5982\u4f55\u6293\u4f4f\u53bb\u5e74\u591a\u8f49\u7a7a\u7684\u9019\u6bb5\u95dc\u9375
\n\u5176\u5be6\u5f88\u96e3\u8aaa\u7684\u6e05\u695a \u7562\u7adf\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u9817\u9577\u671f\u7684\u89c0\u5bdf\u548c\u8a55\u4f30\u904e\u7a0b
\n\u7d30\u7bc0\u76f8\u7576\u591a \u66f4\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u662f\u4e5f\u5e36\u8457\u4e0d\u5c11\u7684\u904b\u6c23\u6210\u5206<\/p>\n

\u4e0d\u904e \u4f60\u53ef\u4ee5\u505a\u5230\u7684\u8a55\u4f30 \u5176\u5be6\u4e5f\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u9ede
\n\u82e5\u662f\u7576\u521d\u80fd\u5bdf\u89ba\u4e0b\u8ff0\u5e7e\u9ede \u5176\u5be6\u7d55\u5c0d\u5c31\u80fd\u907f\u958b\u6b64\u6b21\u7684\u6158\u70c8\u56de\u6a94
\n\u5728\u6b64\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u4e9b\u7576\u521d\u6211\u66fe\u8d70\u904e\u7684\u90e8\u4efd\u91cd\u8981\u89c0\u5bdf\u9762\u5411\u5206\u4eab\u5927\u5bb6
\n————————————————————–
\n1.\u6b21\u7d1a\u623f\u8cb8<\/span>
\n\u9019\u7576\u7136\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u5927\u98a8\u66b4,\u91cd\u9ede\u4e0d\u5728\u7576\u4e0b,\u800c\u662f\u5728\u5176\u5f8c\u7e8c\u5f71\u97ff
\n\u7248\u4e0a\u6709\u5c11\u6578\u5e7e\u4f4d\u8ddf\u8457\u6211\u4e00\u8d77\u505a\u53f0\u80a1\u7684\u677f\u53cb
\n\u4ed6\u5011\u5c31\u77e5\u9053\u5728\u6b21\u7d1a\u623f\u8cb8\u5f8c\u6211\u4e26\u6c92\u6709\u99ac\u4e0a\u8f49\u7a7a \u53f0\u80a1\u9084\u662f\u504f\u591a\u64cd\u4f5c
\n\u4e0d\u904e\u5728\u540c\u6642\u6211\u5c31\u63d0\u9192\u4ed6\u5011\u5fc5\u9808\u5c0d\u65bc\u5e02\u5834\u8f49\u6298\u9808\u6709\u6240\u63d0\u9632\u4e86
\n(\u958b\u59cb\u6e96\u5099\u90e8\u4efd\u4f48\u5c40\u50b5\u5e02)
\n\u539f\u56e0\u5f88\u7c21\u55ae \u4e8b\u4ef6\u525b\u7206\u767c\u7684\u6642\u5019 \u6c92\u6709\u4eba\u77e5\u9053\u5f71\u97ff\u5230\u5e95\u6709\u591a\u5927
\n\u4f46\u662f\u662f\u500b\u8b66\u8a0a\u662f\u4e0d\u722d\u7684\u4e8b\u5be6 \u4e5f\u56e0\u6b64\u4e0d\u80fd\u518d\u50bb\u50bb\u5730\u731b\u4f5c\u591a<\/p>\n

2.\u7f8e\u5143\u958b\u59cb\u8d70\u7a7a,\u65e5\u5713\u6301\u7e8c\u5f31\u52e2,\u539f\u7269\u6599\u5927\u6f32<\/span>…
\n\u6211\u60f3\u544a\u8a34\u5927\u5bb6\u7684\u662f,\u8981\u6293\u80a1\u5e02\u7684\u884c\u60c5,\u8cc7\u91d1\u548c\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u7f3a\u4e00\u4e0d\u53ef
\n\u6240\u4ee5\u6211\u5011\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u7279\u5225\u6ce8\u610f\u8cc7\u91d1\u8f49\u79fb\u7684significance<\/p>\n

\u82e5\u662f\u4f60\u770b\u5230\u7f8e\u5143\u8cb6\u53ea\u60f3\u5230—>\u7f8e\u570b\u5feb\u845b\u5c41\u4e86 \u5feb\u6295\u5165\u65b0\u8208
\n\u82e5\u662f\u4f60\u770b\u5230\u6b50\u5143\u5347\u53ea\u60f3\u5230—>\u6b50\u6d32\u7d93\u6fdf\u4e00\u7247\u5927\u597d \u5feb\u9ede\u52a0\u78bc\u65b0\u8208\u6771\u6b50
\n\u82e5\u662f\u4f60\u770b\u5230\u539f\u7269\u6599\u5927\u6f32\u53ea\u60f3\u5230—>\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u4e0d\u61c9\u6c42,\u8cc7\u6e90\u5403\u7dca,\u9577\u671f\u770b\u591a,\u6703\u6f32\u5230\u5929\u50f9<\/p>\n

\u90a3 \u4f60\u5df2\u7d93\u4e0d\u81ea\u89ba\u9677\u5165\u570b\u969b\u71b1\u9322\u6240\u8a2d\u4e0b\u7684\u904a\u6232\u7576\u4e2d\u4e86
\n—————————————————————–
\n\u6211\u5011\u600e\u9ebc\u95dc\u5207\u570b\u969b\u7684\u71b1\u9322\u8d70\u5411\u5462?
\n\u8b1b\u4e00\u4e9b\u6bd4\u8f03\u7c97\u6dfa \u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u80fd\u81ea\u5df1\u505a\u7684\u8a55\u4f30\u597d\u4e86<\/p>\n

1. \u71b1\u9322\u5f9e\u54ea\u4f86—>?<\/span>
\nans: \u65e5\u672c \u7f8e\u82f1\u91d1\u878d\u696d \u548c\u6cb9\u5143
\n\u6240\u4ee5\u5728\u8a55\u4f30\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u6642\u5019\u4e00\u5b9a\u8981\u7279\u5225\u6ce8\u610f\u4e0a\u8ff0\u4e09\u8005\u7684\u52d5\u5411 \u5176\u4ed6\u90fd\u4e0d\u91cd\u8981\u7684<\/p>\n

2.\u71b1\u9322\u5982\u4f55\u8b8a\u52d5?
\n<\/span>\u7576\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u6b21\u7d1a\u623f\u8cb8\u7206\u767c\u5f8c,\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d70\u5f31\u548c\u570b\u969b\u6295\u6a5f\u8cc7\u91d1\u662f\u8dd1\u4e0d\u6389\u7684
\n\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u65e5\u672c\u71b1\u9322\u9010\u6b65\u9000\u51fa\u7f8e\u570b\u7684\u9ad8\u98a8\u96aa\u8cb8\u6b3e\u5e02\u5834
\n\u6cb9\u5143\u89c0\u671b \u4ee5\u53ca\u6b50\u6d32\u91d1\u878d\u696d\u5927\u91cf\u8d16\u56de\u7f8e\u570b\u90e8\u4f4d(\u6050\u614c)
\n\u9019\u4e9b\u71b1\u9322\u5fc5\u9808\u8981\u6709\u53bb\u8655 \u65bc\u662f\u5c31\u6703\u5230\u5404\u5730\u53bb\u7092\u4f5c\u539f\u7269\u6599,\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u984c\u6750\u548c\u8ca8\u5e63
\n\u9020\u5c31\u53bb\u5e74\u6700\u5f8c\u4e00\u6ce2\u7684\u69ae\u666f(\u6700\u5f8c\u4e00\u96bb\u8001\u9f20?)
\n\u800c\u82e5\u7f8e\u570b\u6c92\u6709\u7206\u767c\u6b21\u7d1a\u623f\u8cb8
\n\u6216\u662f\u6b21\u7d1a\u623f\u8cb8\u6c92\u6709\u50b7\u5230\u7f8e\u570b\u7d93\u6fdf\u7684\u7b4b\u9aa8,\u5247\u9019\u500b\u904a\u6232\u6216\u8a31\u9084\u6709\u6a5f\u6703\u548c\u5e73\u6536\u5834
\n\u4f46\u5f8c\u4f86\u767c\u5c55…\u5927\u5bb6\u90fd\u77e5\u9053
\n\u6240\u4ee5\u5e02\u5834\u96a8\u6642\u90fd\u5728\u8b8a\u5316,\u8981\u96a8\u6642\u89c0\u5bdf\u5176\u6f14\u9032,\u4e26\u64da\u4ee5\u8abf\u6574\u6b65\u8abf
\n\u53bb\u5e746\u6708\u548c8\u6708\u7684\u98a8\u5411\u4e0d\u540c 8\u6708\u548c11\u6708\u7684\u98a8\u5411,\u540c\u6a23\u4e5f\u5927\u5927\u4e0d\u540c..<\/p>\n

\u7576\u7f8e\u570b\u653e\u4efb\u7f8e\u5143\u8cb6\u503c\u6642 \u5176\u5be6\u5c31\u5df2\u7d93\u958b\u59cb\u4e86\u5168\u7403\u5927\u56de\u6a94\u7684\u4e0d\u53ef\u9006\u5de5\u7a0b\u4e86
\n\u65e5\u5713\u5347\u503c\u5c07\u96e3\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u8d85\u904e\u81e8\u754c\u9ede,\u5c0e\u81f4\u65e5\u672c\u7d93\u6fdf\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u5927\u5e45\u8d70\u7de9\u751a\u81f3\u8870\u9000
\n\u4e26\u5f15\u767c\u5957\u5229\u6d77\u5916\u7684\u8cc7\u91d1\u6050\u614c\u56de\u65e5
\n\u6b50\u6d32\u4e5f\u662f\u4e00\u6a23 \u539f\u5148\u5f37\u52c1\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u6210\u9577\u5728 \u6b21\u8cb8+\u6b50\u5143\u5347\u503c\u6548\u61c9\u4e0b\u786c\u662f\u88ab\u6514\u8170\u4e2d\u65b7
\n\u82f1\u570b\u8207\u7f8e\u570b\u9593\u7684\u9023\u5bc6\u81cd\u5e36\u66f4\u662f\u9996\u7576\u5176\u885d<\/p>\n

\u6cb9\u5143\u7684\u8d70\u52e2\u66f4\u662f\u95dc\u9375 \u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u767c\u73fe\u81ea\u53bb\u5e749\u6708\u4efd\u4ee5\u4f86
\n\u6cb9\u5143\u8fe5\u7570\u65bc\u5176\u4ed6\u570b\u5bb6\u592e\u884c\u7684\u884c\u70ba \u8f49\u800c\u5927\u7b46\u8cfc\u9032\u7f8e\u50b5
\n\u53d7\u76ca\u65bc\u6295\u6a5f\u884c\u60c5\u6700\u591a\u7684\u6cb9\u5143\u7adf\u7136\u5927\u8209\u8cfc\u8cb7\u7f8e\u50b5\u5c31\u662f\u53e6\u4e00\u9805\u91cd\u8981\u8b66\u8a0a
\n\u4ee3\u8868\u4ed6\u5011\u6df1\u77e5\u81f3\u5c11\u672a\u4f86\u884c\u60c5\u7684\u98a8\u96aa\u5df2\u7d93\u63d0\u9ad8 \u8f49\u800c\u4fdd\u5b88\u4ee5\u5c0d
\n\u9023\u5927\u8209\u7684\u6d77\u5916\u6295\u8cc7\u90fd\u8f49\u800c\u627f\u63a5\u7f8e\u570b\u8dcc\u6df1\u7684\u7e3e\u512a\u80a1<\/p>\n

\u6700\u5f8c\u4e00\u8173
\n\u5c31\u662f\u7f8e\u570b\u56e0\u61c9\u672c\u571f\u8cc7\u91d1\u9700\u6c42,\u4ee5\u53ca\u6bcf\u4e0b\u6108\u6cc1\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u8870\u75b2 \u65bc\u662f\u9010\u6f38\u81ea\u6d77\u5916\u6536\u7db2
\n\u85c9\u8457\u5f31\u52e2\u7f8e\u5143\u5c07\u6d77\u5916\u6295\u8cc7\u5927\u8209\u6536\u56de,\u88dc\u4e0a\u4e00\u8173
\n\u5728\u6b64\u540c\u6642\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u570b\u7684\u907f\u96aa\u8cc7\u91d1\u4e5f\u5927\u8209\u8f49\u79fb\u81f3\u7f8e\u50b5\u6216\u5176\u4ed6\u8f03\u7a69\u5b9a\u7684\u6295\u8cc7
\n\u9019\u4e5f\u5c31\u662f\u70ba\u5f88\u591a\u65b0\u8208\u5e02\u5834\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u90fd\u8dcc\u7684\u6bd4DJ<\/span>\u9019\u500b\u9707\u592e\u570b\u9084\u6df1\u7684\u6839\u672c\u539f\u56e0\u554a
\n(\u5225\u4eba\u7684\u5b69\u5b50\u6b7b\u4e0d\u5b8c,\u8ca1\u5bcc\u91cd\u5206\u914d..\u56de\u8001\u7f8e\u5bb6)<\/p>\n

\u6b64\u5916 \u5404\u7a2e\u6295\u6a5f\u7684\u6a19\u7684,\u5982\u539f\u7269\u6599\u5728\u9700\u6c42\u5927\u5e45\u6e1b\u7de9\u7684\u60c5\u6cc1\u4e0b
\n(\u8aaa\u904e\u4e86 \u770b\u7f8e\u6b50\u65e5\u5c31\u5920\u4e86 \u4f8b\u5982\u4e09\u500b\u5730\u65b9\u539f\u6cb9\u6d88\u8017\u5360\u4e86\u4e16\u754c\u7e3d\u6d88\u801765%\u4ee5\u4e0a)
\n\u7576\u7136\u725b\u76ae\u4e5f\u662f\u9010\u6f38\u5439\u4e0d\u4e0a\u53bb…
\n\u5176\u4e2d \u7ce7\u98df\u50f9\u683c\u56e0\u70ba\u6709\u8001\u7f8e\u6490 \u539f\u6cb9\u6709opec\u64cd\u4f5c \u9ec3\u91d1\u5177\u6709\u907f\u96aa\u8003\u91cf
\n(\u9ec3\u91d1\u8aaa\u771f\u7684\u6211\u4e0d\u719f \u96d6\u7136\u6211\u5df2\u7d93\u8b80\u4e86Gold Investment Digest\u6301\u7e8c\u4e00\u5e74\u591a\u4e86
\n\u9084\u662f\u4e0d\u592a\u4e86\u89e30rz)
\n“\u53ef\u80fd”\u6703\u6709\u4e0b\u6a94\u652f\u6490\u5916 \u5176\u4ed6\u90fd\u662f\u6df1\u4e0d\u898b\u5e95 \u6e96\u5099\u8df3\u6d77
\nNow, the trend still continues..<\/p>\n

\u8a66\u60f3
\n\u82e5\u662f\u9019\u4e9b\u8cc7\u91d1\u90fd\u5f9e\u6295\u6a5f\u90e8\u4f4d\u64a4\u9000
\n\u8acb\u554f \u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u4e0d\u6703”\u8dcc”?
\n\u4e0d\u4f46\u6703\u8dcc \u9084\u6703\u5927\u8dcc\u7279\u8dcc \u56e0\u70ba\u6839\u672c\u6c92\u6709\u4efb\u4f55\u8cc7\u91d1\u53ef\u4ee5\u4f86\u586b\u88dc
\n\u7576\u7136 \u9019\u4e9b\u4f60\u90fd\u4e0d\u6703\u5728\u4efb\u4f55\u8ca1\u7d93\u96dc\u8a8c\u4e0a\u770b\u5230 \u4ed6\u5011\u53ea\u6703\u53eb\u4f60”\u8cb7”
\n———————————————————————–
\n\u77e5\u9053\u4e86\u71b1\u9322\u7684\u6d41\u5411\u5f8c,\u90a3\u6211\u5011\u5c31\u5f97\u8d95\u7dca\u4f86\u5be9\u8996\u5404\u570b\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u9762\u4e86
\n\u5f9e\u4e0a\u9762\u7684\u71b1\u9322\u6d41\u5411\u4e2d \u6211\u5011\u5f88\u8f15\u6613\u5730\u5c31\u80fd\u5f97\u51fa\u4e0b\u9762\u7684\u7d50\u8ad6<\/p>\n

1.\u904e\u5206\u4f9d\u8cf4\u6295\u6a5f\u884c\u60c5\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u9700\u4fdd\u5b88\u9762\u5c0d\u9700\u4fdd\u5b88
\nex: \u570b\u5bb6\u767c\u5c55\u5927\u91cf\u4f9d\u8cf4\u539f\u7269\u6599\u6f32\u52e2 \u7206\u589e\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u570b\u5bb6
\n(\u4e0d\u8981\u518d\u554f\u6211\u70ba\u4ec0\u9ebc\u62c9\u7f8e \u6fb3\u6d32\u548c\u4fc4\u570b\u8dcc\u4e86)<\/p>\n

2.\u904e\u5206\u4f9d\u8cf4\u7f8e\u570b\u5e02\u5834(\u6216\u52a0\u4e0a\u6b50\u65e5)\u7684\u570b\u5bb6\u9700\u4fdd\u5b88
\nex. \u51fa\u53e3\u570b(\u9664\u4e86\u5370\u5ea6\u5916\u5168\u90e8\u5012\u5730)<\/p>\n

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http:\/\/www.unctad.org\/Templates\/Page.asp?intItemID=3198&lang=1<\/a><\/p>\n

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